LATIN AMERICAN EXCHANGE RATE DEPENDENCIES: A REGULAR VINE COPULA APPROACH.

This study implements a regular vine copula methodology to evaluate the level of contagion among the exchange rates of six Latin American countries (Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, and Peru) from June 2005 to April 2012. We measure contagion in terms of tail dependence coefficients, foll...

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Publicado en:Contemporary Economic Policy Vol. 33; no. 3; pp. 535 - 550
Autores principales: Loaiza Maya, Rubén Albeiro, Gomez‐Gonzalez, Jose Eduardo, Melo Velandia, Luis Fernando
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Wiley-Blackwell Jul2015
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Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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        atl: LATIN AMERICAN EXCHANGE RATE DEPENDENCIES: A REGULAR VINE COPULA APPROACH.
      aug:
        au:
          Loaiza Maya, Rubén Albeiro
          Gomez‐Gonzalez, Jose Eduardo
          Melo Velandia, Luis Fernando
        affil:
          Department of Economics, University of Melbourne, Australia
          Research Department, Banco de la República (Central Bank of Colombia), Bogotá Colombia
          Econometrics Unit, Banco de la República (Central Bank of Colombia), Bogotá Colombia
      su:
        Latin America
        International economic relations
        Foreign exchange rates
        Copula functions
        Hedging (Finance)
        Financial markets
      sug:
        subj:
          International economic relations
          Latin America
          International assistance
          Securities and Commodity Exchanges
          Investment Banking and Securities Dealing
          Foreign exchange rates
          Copula functions
          Hedging (Finance)
          Financial markets
      ab: This study implements a regular vine copula methodology to evaluate the level of contagion among the exchange rates of six Latin American countries (Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, and Peru) from June 2005 to April 2012. We measure contagion in terms of tail dependence coefficients, following Fratzscher's (1999) definition of contagion as interdependence. Our results indicate that these countries are divided into two blocks. The first block consists of Brazil, Colombia, Chile, and Mexico, whose exchange rates exhibit the largest dependence coefficients, and the second block consists of Argentina and Peru, whose exchange rate dependence coefficients with other Latin American countries are low. We also found that most of the Latin American exchange rate pairs exhibit asymmetric behaviors characterized by nonsignificant upper tail dependence and significant lower tail dependence. These results imply that there exists contagion in Latin American exchange rates in periods of large appreciations, whereas there is no evidence of contagion during periods of currency depreciation. This empirical regularity may reflect the 'fear of appreciation' in emerging economies identified by Levy-Yeyati, Sturzenegger, and Gluzmann (2013). ( JEL C32, C51, E42)
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Article
      src: R
    language: English
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