Uncertainty in environmental health impact assessment: Quantitative methods and perspectives.

Environmental health impact assessment models are subjected to great uncertainty due to the complex associations between environmental exposures and health. Quantifying the impact of uncertainty is important if the models are used to support health policy decisions. We conducted a systematic review...

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Publicado en:International Journal of Environmental Health Research Vol. 23; no. 1; pp. 16 - 31
Autores principales: Mesa-Frias, Marco, Chalabi, Zaid, Vanni, Tazio, Foss, Anna M.
Formato: research systematic review tables/charts Journal Article
Publicado: Taylor & Francis Ltd Feb2013
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      pub: Taylor & Francis Ltd
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        atl: Uncertainty in environmental health impact assessment: Quantitative methods and perspectives.
      aug:
        au:
          Mesa-Frias, Marco
          Chalabi, Zaid
          Vanni, Tazio
          Foss, Anna M.
        affil: Department of Social and Environmental Health Research, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
      sug:
        subj:
          Health Impact Assessment
          Environmental Health
          Environmental Exposure
          Uncertainty Evaluation
          Research Methodology Evaluation
          Systematic Review
          Models, Theoretical
          Medline
          Embase
          Funding Source
      ab: Environmental health impact assessment models are subjected to great uncertainty due to the complex associations between environmental exposures and health. Quantifying the impact of uncertainty is important if the models are used to support health policy decisions. We conducted a systematic review to identify and appraise current methods used to quantify the uncertainty in environmental health impact assessment. In the 19 studies meeting the inclusion criteria, several methods were identified. These were grouped into random sampling methods, second-order probability methods, Bayesian methods, fuzzy sets, and deterministic sensitivity analysis methods. All 19 studies addressed the uncertainty in the parameter values but only 5 of the studies also addressed theuncertainty in the structure of the models. None of the articles reviewed considered conceptual sources of uncertainty associated with the framing assumptions or the conceptualisation of the model. Future research should attempt to broaden the way uncertainty is taken into account in environmental health impact assessments.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype:
        research
        systematic review
        tables/charts
        Journal Article
      ougenre: Article
    language: English
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