Comparison of likelihood ratios of first-trimester nuchal translucency measurements: multiples of median, delta or mixture.

Objective: To compare the likelihood ratios (LR) determined for a measured nuchal translucency (NT) using the multiples of the median (MoM), delta-NT and mixture model approaches. Methods: This was a retrospective study of singleton pregnancies with known outcome screened at the 12(th) week of pregn...

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Publicado en:Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology Vol. 36; no. 1; pp. 15 - 20
Autores principales: Sahota DS, Leung TY, Chen M, Chan LW, Fung TY, Lau TK, Sahota, D S, Leung, T Y, Chen, M, Chan, L W, Fung, T Y, Lau, T K
Formato: research Journal Article
Publicado: Wiley-Blackwell Jul2010
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      pub: Wiley-Blackwell
      place: Malden, Massachusetts
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        10.1002/uog.7677
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        atl: Comparison of likelihood ratios of first-trimester nuchal translucency measurements: multiples of median, delta or mixture.
      aug:
        au:
          Sahota DS
          Leung TY
          Chen M
          Chan LW
          Fung TY
          Lau TK
          Sahota, D S
          Leung, T Y
          Chen, M
          Chan, L W
          Fung, T Y
          Lau, T K
        affil: Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Prince of Wales Hospital, Shatin, Hong Kong SAR, China
      sug:
        subj:
          Down Syndrome Ultrasonography
          Nuchal Translucency Measurement Methods
          Adult
          Crown-Rump Length
          Female
          Human
          Probability
          Predictive Value of Tests
          Pregnancy
          Pregnancy Trimester, First
          Retrospective Design
          Adult: 19-44 years
          Female
      ab: Objective: To compare the likelihood ratios (LR) determined for a measured nuchal translucency (NT) using the multiples of the median (MoM), delta-NT and mixture model approaches. Methods: This was a retrospective study of singleton pregnancies with known outcome screened at the 12(th) week of pregnancy between January 2006 and May 2008. NT, crown-rump length (CRL) and LR for trisomy 21 using the delta-NT approach (LRNT-delta) were extracted from The Fetal Medicine Foundation trisomy 21 risk-calculation software database. NT measurements were converted into their equivalent MoM by dividing by the expected CRL-specific median NT. LR for trisomy 21 based on the MoM (LRNT-MoM) of each case was then calculated as the ratio of the Gaussian probability density functions using published trisomy 21 risk-screening parameters. The LR using the mixture model (LRNT-mixture) was calculated as the ratio of individual composite probability densities reported for trisomy 21 and unaffected pregnancies. The intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) was used to assess the agreement between the three different approaches while the paired t-test was used to perform pairwise comparisons. Results: Of the 5907 pregnancies with known outcome, 14 had trisomy 21. The ICC between the three approaches to determining an LR was 0.947 (95% CI, 0.943-0.951; P < 0.0001). Pairwise comparison indicated that differences between LR were statistically significant (P < 0.0001). Likelihood ratios determined via the delta-NT model were in general greater than those produced by both the mixture model (z = 5.58, P < 0.0001) and the MoM approaches (z = 32.8, P < 0.0001). For a 5% false-positive rate the detection rate of trisomy 21 (DR) was 78.6% (95% CI, 57.1-99.9%) The screen positive thresholds to achieve this DR were 1 : 200 for the delta-NT approach, 1 : 220 for the mixture approach and 1 : 290 for the MoM approach. Conclusion: No single method of determining NT-associated LR outperformed the others in its ability to detect a trisomy 21-affected pregnancy.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype:
        research
        Journal Article
      ougenre: Article
    language: English
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