Prevalence estimates of alcohol related problems in an area of northern Italy using the capture-recapture method.
BACKGROUND: The alcohol-related problems (ARPs) are a relevant issue in public health and contribute to premature deaths and avoidable disease burden. The capture-recapture (C-R) method can be a useful tool to provide reliable estimates for populations with hidden nature such as subjects with ARP. M...
| Publicado en: | European Journal of Public Health Vol. 20; no. 5; pp. 576 - 582 |
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| Autores principales: | , , , , , , |
| Formato: | research tables/charts Journal Article |
| Publicado: |
Oxford University Press / USA
Oct2010
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| Acceso en línea: | Ver este registro en EBSCOhost |
| fields | @attributes: recordID: 1 pdfLink: plink: https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=ccm&AN=105106570&site=ehost-live header: @attributes: shortDbName: ccm uiTerm: 105106570 longDbName: CINAHL Complete uiTag: AN controlInfo: bkinfo: dissinfo: jinfo: jid: 11011262 BHW jtl: European Journal of Public Health issn: 11011262 maglogo: N pubinfo: dt: Oct2010 vid: 20 iid: 5 pid: 622 pub: Oxford University Press / USA artinfo: ui: 105106570 105106570 2010802178 10.1093/eurpub/ckq038 NLM20385658 105106570 ppf: 576 ppct: 6 formats: fmt: @attributes: type: P tig: atl: Prevalence estimates of alcohol related problems in an area of northern Italy using the capture-recapture method. aug: au: Ponzio M Perotti PG Monti MC Montomoli C San Bartolomeo P Iannello G Mariani S affil: Local Health Authority (ASL) of Pavia, Department Social Health, Unit of Research and Evaluation, Pavia, Italy. michela.ponzio@unipv.it sug: subj: Alcohol Abuse Epidemiology Disease Surveillance Methods Adult Age Factors Algorithms Chi Square Test Confidence Intervals Data Analysis Software Databases Demography Descriptive Statistics Female Human Italy Kruskal-Wallis Test Male Matched Case Control Middle Age Models, Theoretical Multicenter Studies Outpatient Service Sex Factors Adult: 19-44 years Middle Aged: 45-64 years Female Male ab: BACKGROUND: The alcohol-related problems (ARPs) are a relevant issue in public health and contribute to premature deaths and avoidable disease burden. The capture-recapture (C-R) method can be a useful tool to provide reliable estimates for populations with hidden nature such as subjects with ARP. METHODS: C-R method was used to estimate the 'true count' of individuals with ARP using three independent health-related current databases in an area of northern Italy during 2007. To predict the frequency of unascertained cases, we constructed log linear models. The goodness-of-fit of a model was measured by the likelihood ratio test and the final model was selected using Akaike's Information Criterion. Confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated according to Hook and Regal. RESULTS: Altogether 1014 subjects with ARP were directly identified from the three sources using the C-R method the estimated unknown population was 2729 subjects, giving a total of 3743 subjects with ARP (95% CI 3148-4504) and a prevalence of 8.24 (95% CI 7.97-8.50) per 1000 inhabitants aged >15 years. The analyses stratified for gender estimated 12.31/1000 (95% CI 11.85-12.77) men and 4.86/1000 (95% CI 4.58-5.14) women with ARP. Besides, the analysis calculated a prevalence of 14.99 per 1000 (95% CI 14.29-15.69) for males <50 years (1731), corresponding to the majority of subjects with ARP. CONCLUSION: The C-R technique is useful to provide a more realistic picture of the size of ARP population. This has important implications both for future planning of service provision and for the way in which the impact of ARP interventions are evaluated. pubtype: Academic Journal doctype: research tables/charts Journal Article ougenre: Article language: English refInfo: holdings: @attributes: islocal: N |
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