Prediction of colorectal cancer by a patient consultation questionnaire and scoring system: a prospective study.

Background: Current NHS guidelines for referral of patients with colorectal symptoms classify many as high risk but fail to identify a significant number of cancers in the low-risk group. We describe a practical scoring method to predict colorectal cancers.Methods: From October, 1999, 2268 patients...

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Publicado en:Lancet Vol. 360; no. 9329; pp. 278 - 284
Autores principales: Selvachandran SN, Hodder RJ, Ballal MS, Jones P, Cade D, Selvachandran, S N, Hodder, R J, Ballal, M S, Jones, P, Cade, D
Formato: research tables/charts Journal Article
Publicado: Lancet 7/27/2002
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: 7/27/2002
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      pub: Lancet
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        2002132028
        10.1016/s0140-6736(02)09549-1
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        atl: Prediction of colorectal cancer by a patient consultation questionnaire and scoring system: a prospective study.
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          Selvachandran SN
          Hodder RJ
          Ballal MS
          Jones P
          Cade D
          Selvachandran, S N
          Hodder, R J
          Ballal, M S
          Jones, P
          Cade, D
        affil: Department of Surgery, Leighton Hospital, Mid Cheshire Hospital Trust, Crewe, Cheshire, UK
      sug:
        subj:
          Colorectal Neoplasms Risk Factors
          Clinical Assessment Tools
          Risk Assessment Methods
          United Kingdom
          National Health Programs
          Confidence Intervals
          McNemar's Test
          Sensitivity and Specificity
          Questionnaires
          Prospective Studies
          Colorectal Neoplasms Classification
          Patient History Taking
          Predictive Value of Tests
          Chi Square Test
          Relative Risk
          Referral and Consultation
          Age Factors
          Colorectal Neoplasms Symptoms
          Colorectal Neoplasms Diagnosis
          Adult
          Middle Age
          Human
          Adult: 19-44 years
          Middle Aged: 45-64 years
      ab: Background: Current NHS guidelines for referral of patients with colorectal symptoms classify many as high risk but fail to identify a significant number of cancers in the low-risk group. We describe a practical scoring method to predict colorectal cancers.Methods: From October, 1999, 2268 patients with distal colonic symptoms, referred by general practitioners, completed a patient consultation questionnaire linked to a computerised record. Referrals were prioritised with a malignancy risk score by a senior colorectal surgeon separately from the general practitioner's letter and from the questionnaire. A weighted numerical score was derived from weighting of primary symptoms and symptom complexes and was calculated automatically when the questionnaire data were entered into the computer program. Analysis by receiver-operating characteristics assessed the scoring systems. Sensitivities and specificities of scoring systems were compared with McNemar's test.Findings: Of the 2268 patients, 95 had colorectal cancer. The average weighted numerical score was significantly higher for patients with cancer than for non-cancer patients (mean 76.5 [95% CI 72.2-80.9] vs 44.5 [43.6-45.4]; p<0.0001). At similar cancer detection rates, the malignancy risk score derived from the patient consultation questionnaire and the weighted numerical score graded lower proportions of referrals as urgent than did the current NHS guidelines (43.1% and 39.8% vs 49.8%; p<0.0001).Interpretation: The patient consultation questionnaire depends on history alone and is easily reproducible. In conjunction with the weighted numerical score, which removes operator bias, it can be used as an accurate system for prediction of symptomatic colorectal cancer.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype:
        research
        tables/charts
        Journal Article
      ougenre: Article
    language: English
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