Understanding and Addressing the Unbounded “Likelihood” Problem.

The joint probability density function, evaluated at the observed data, is commonly used as the likelihood function to compute maximum likelihood estimates. For some models, however, there exist paths in the parameter space along which this density-approximation likelihood goes to infinity and maxim...

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Publicado en:American Statistician Vol. 69; no. 3; pp. 191 - 201
Autores principales: Liu, Shiyao, Wu, Huaiqing, Meeker, William Q.
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Taylor & Francis Ltd Aug2015
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Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      pub: Taylor & Francis Ltd
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        109173235
        10.1080/00031305.2014.1003968
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        atl: Understanding and Addressing the Unbounded “Likelihood” Problem.
      aug:
        au:
          Liu, Shiyao
          Wu, Huaiqing
          Meeker, William Q.
      su:
        Probability density function
        Maximum likelihood statistics
        Rounding errors
        Measurement errors
        Digital voltmeters
      sug:
        subj:
          Probability density function
          Maximum likelihood statistics
          Rounding errors
          Measurement errors
          Digital voltmeters
      keyword:
        Density approximation
        Interval censoring
        Maximum likelihood
        Round-off error
        Unbounded likelihood
        Density approximation
        Interval censoring
        Maximum likelihood
        Round-off error
        Unbounded likelihood
      ab: The joint probability density function, evaluated at the observed data, is commonly used as the likelihood function to compute maximum likelihood estimates. For some models, however, there exist paths in the parameter space along which this density-approximation likelihood goes to infinity and maximum likelihood estimation breaks down. In all applications, however, observed data are really discrete due to the round-off or grouping error of measurements. The “correct likelihood” based on interval censoring can eliminate the problem of an unbounded likelihood. This article categorizes the models leading to unbounded likelihoods into three groups and illustrates the density-approximation breakdown with specific examples. Although it is usually possible to infer how given data were rounded, when this is not possible, one must choose the width for interval censoring, so we study the effect of the round-off on estimation. We also give sufficient conditions for the joint density to provide the same maximum likelihood estimate as the correct likelihood, as the round-off error goes to zero.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Article
      src: R
    language: English
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