Futures of privacy protection: A framework for creating scenarios of institutional change.
The future of privacy is a topical issue in the context of debates on mass surveillance and the increasing prevalence of social media sites in everyday life. Previous scenario studies on privacy have focused on macro trends and on forecasting technological developments, and claims about causal influ...
| Publicado en: | Futures Vol. 73; pp. 48 - 61 |
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| Formato: | Artículo |
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Elsevier B.V.
Oct2015
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| Acceso en línea: | Ver este registro en EBSCOhost |
| fields | @attributes: recordID: 1 pdfLink: plink: https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=ssf&AN=110942582&site=ehost-live header: @attributes: shortDbName: ssf uiTerm: 110942582 longDbName: Social Sciences Full Text (H.W. Wilson) uiTag: AN controlInfo: bkinfo: jinfo: jid: 00163287 FUL jtl: Futures issn: 00163287 maglogo: N pubinfo: dt: Oct2015 vid: 73 pid: 467 pub: Elsevier B.V. artinfo: ui: 110942582 10.1016/j.futures.2015.07.006 ppf: 48 ppct: 13 formats: tig: atl: Futures of privacy protection: A framework for creating scenarios of institutional change. aug: au: Minkkinen, Matti affil: Finland Futures Research Centre, Turku School of Economics, FI-20014 University of Turku, Finland su: Information society Sociology Information & communication technologies Structural frames Plausibility (Logic) sug: subj: Information society Sociology Information & communication technologies Finish Carpentry Contractors Framing Contractors Structural frames Plausibility (Logic) keyword: Data protection Institution Institutional change Privacy Privacy protection Scenario Data protection Institution Institutional change Privacy Privacy protection Scenario ab: The future of privacy is a topical issue in the context of debates on mass surveillance and the increasing prevalence of social media sites in everyday life. Previous scenario studies on privacy have focused on macro trends and on forecasting technological developments, and claims about causal influences have remained implicit. This article presents an alternative approach for constructing scenarios of privacy protection. The article focuses on privacy protection as a social institution and builds on the theory of gradual institutional change. The article presents a scenario framework which includes three stages: (1) outlining the dynamics of privacy protection, (2) tracing historical processes and constructing a causal narrative, and (3) creating event-based scenarios. The resulting scenarios are narratives of plausible chains of events which are based on the results of the previous stages. The key difference to typical scenario approaches is the focus on specific actors and types of event sequences in privacy protection. The argument is that by lowering the level of abstraction in this way, researchers and decision-makers can gain a more profound understanding of possible future challenges in privacy protection and of key leverage points in the institutional change process. pubtype: Academic Journal doctype: Article src: R language: English refInfo: copyright: @attributes: flag: N holdings: @attributes: islocal: N |
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