THE (AGGREGATE) DEMAND FOR STATE-LOTTERY TICKETS: WHAT HAVE WE REALLY LEARNED?

Lottery-demand models using aggregate data are often used to make inferences regarding individual behavior, the most important being the distributional burden of lottery-ticket expenditures. It is shown here that estimates for the income elasticity and the cross-price elasticity will only be represe...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Contemporary Economic Policy Vol. 34; no. 3; pp. 475 - 483
Main Author: Garrett, Thomas A.
Format: Article
Published: Wiley-Blackwell Jul2016
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Online Access:View this record in EBSCOhost
Description
Summary:Lottery-demand models using aggregate data are often used to make inferences regarding individual behavior, the most important being the distributional burden of lottery-ticket expenditures. It is shown here that estimates for the income elasticity and the cross-price elasticity will only be representative of individual behavior under extremely restrictive assumptions. In fact, estimation of aggregate-demand models presupposes that the income elasticity is equal to one. Cross-sectional analyses using microlevel data face similar restrictions on consumer behavior. Remedies are discussed, but more conclusive evidence on the distributional burden of lotteries will remain elusive until better individual-level data become available. (JEL D11, H71, H22)