A Dilemma for the Doomsday Argument.
I present a new case in which the Doomsday Argument (' DA') runs afoul of epistemic intuition much more strongly than before. This leads to a dilemma: in the new case either DA is committed to unacceptable counterintuitiveness and belief in miracles, or else it is irrelevant. I then explore under wh...
| Publicado en: | Ratio Vol. 29; no. 3; pp. 268 - 283 |
|---|---|
| Autor principal: | |
| Formato: | Artículo |
| Publicado: |
Wiley-Blackwell
Sep2016
|
| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | Ver este registro en EBSCOhost |
| fields | @attributes: recordID: 1 pdfLink: plink: https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=hlh&AN=117041859&site=ehost-live header: @attributes: shortDbName: hlh uiTerm: 117041859 longDbName: Humanities International Complete uiTag: AN controlInfo: bkinfo: jinfo: jid: 00340006 D8S jtl: Ratio issn: 00340006 maglogo: Y pubinfo: dt: Sep2016 vid: 29 iid: 3 pid: 480 pub: Wiley-Blackwell artinfo: ui: 117041859 10.1111/rati.12104 ppf: 268 ppct: 15 formats: fmt: – @attributes: type: T – @attributes: type: P size: 79KB tig: atl: A Dilemma for the Doomsday Argument. aug: au: Northcott, Robert affil: Department of Philosophy, Birkbeck College, Malet Street, London WC1E 7HX su: Judgment Day Afterlife A priori Probability theory Uncertainty sug: subj: Judgment Day Afterlife A priori Probability theory Uncertainty ab: I present a new case in which the Doomsday Argument (' DA') runs afoul of epistemic intuition much more strongly than before. This leads to a dilemma: in the new case either DA is committed to unacceptable counterintuitiveness and belief in miracles, or else it is irrelevant. I then explore under what conditions DA can escape this dilemma. The discussion turns on several issues that have not been much emphasised in previous work on DA: a concern that I label trumping; the degree of uncertainty about relevant probability estimates; and the exact sequence in which we integrate DA and empirical concerns. I conclude that only given a particular configuration of these factors might DA still be of interest. pubtype: Academic Journal doctype: Article src: R language: English refInfo: copyright: @attributes: flag: Y custom: Copyright of Ratio is the property of Wiley-Blackwell and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. item: Ratio holder: Wiley-Blackwell dt: @attributes: year: 2016 holdings: @attributes: islocal: N |
|---|