Predicting the Population Health Impacts of Community Interventions: The Case of Alcohol Outlets and Binge Drinking.

A substitution estimator can be used to predict how shifts in population exposures might change health. We illustrated this method by estimating how an upper limit on alcohol outlet density might alter binge drinking in the New York Social Environment Study (n = 4000), and provided statistical code...

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Publicado en:American Journal of Public Health Vol. 106; no. 11; pp. 1938 - 1944
Autores principales: Ahern, Jennifer, Colson, K. Ellicott, Margerson-Zilko, Claire, Hubbard, Alan, Galea, Sandro
Formato: Essay
Publicado: American Public Health Association Nov2016
Materias:
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: Nov2016
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      pub: American Public Health Association
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        118666061
        10.2105/AJPH.2016.303425
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        atl: Predicting the Population Health Impacts of Community Interventions: The Case of Alcohol Outlets and Binge Drinking.
      aug:
        au:
          Ahern, Jennifer
          Colson, K. Ellicott
          Margerson-Zilko, Claire
          Hubbard, Alan
          Galea, Sandro
        affil:
          Division ofEpidemiology, School of Public Health, University ofCalifornia, Berkeley
          Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, College of Human Medicine, Michigan State University, East Lansing
          Division of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley
          School of Public Health, Boston University, Boston, MA
      su:
        New York (N.Y.)
        United States
        New York (State)
        Population health
        Binge drinking
        Forecasting
        Public health
        Social context
        Public health research
        Behavior modification
        Socioeconomic factors
        Health & social status
        Liquor stores
        Public health personnel
        Confidence intervals
        Questionnaires
        Regression analysis
        Research funding
        Shopping
        Treatment effectiveness
        Prevention
      sug:
        subj:
          Population health
          Binge drinking
          Forecasting
          Public health
          Social context
          Public health research
          Behavior modification
          Socioeconomic factors
          Health & social status
          New York (N.Y.)
          United States
          New York (State)
          Beer, Wine, and Liquor Stores
          Health and Welfare Funds
          Research and development in the physical, engineering and life sciences
          Liquor stores
          Public health personnel
          Confidence intervals
          Questionnaires
          Regression analysis
          Research funding
          Shopping
          Treatment effectiveness
          Prevention
      ab: A substitution estimator can be used to predict how shifts in population exposures might change health. We illustrated this method by estimating how an upper limit on alcohol outlet density might alter binge drinking in the New York Social Environment Study (n = 4000), and provided statistical code and sample data. The largest differences in binge drinking were for an upper limit of 70 outlets per square mile; there was a -0.7% difference in binge drinking prevalence for New York City overall (95% confidence interval [CI] = -0.2%, -1.3%) and a -2.4% difference in binge drinking prevalence for the subset of communities the intervention modified(95%CI=-0.5%,-4.0%). A substitution estimator is a flexible tool for estimating population intervention parameters and improving the translation of public health research results to practitioners.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Essay
      src: R
    language: English
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