Discovery without a 'logic' would be a miracle.
Scientists routinely solve the problem of supplementing one's store of variables with new theoretical posits that can explain the previously inexplicable. The banality of success at this task obscures a remarkable fact. Generating hypotheses that contain novel variables and accurately project over a...
| Publicado en: | Synthese Vol. 193; no. 10; pp. 3209 - 3239 |
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| Formato: | Artículo |
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Springer Nature
Oct2016
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| Acceso en línea: | Ver este registro en EBSCOhost |
| fields | @attributes: recordID: 1 pdfLink: plink: https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=hlh&AN=119231462&site=ehost-live header: @attributes: shortDbName: hlh uiTerm: 119231462 longDbName: Humanities International Complete uiTag: AN controlInfo: bkinfo: jinfo: jid: 00397857 4LI jtl: Synthese issn: 00397857 maglogo: N pubinfo: dt: Oct2016 vid: 193 iid: 10 pid: 237 pub: Springer Nature artinfo: ui: 119231462 10.1007/s11229-015-0926-7 ppf: 3209 ppct: 30 formats: fmt: @attributes: type: P size: 698KB tig: atl: Discovery without a 'logic' would be a miracle. aug: au: Jantzen, Benjamin affil: Philosophy Department , 229 Major Williams Hall (0126), 220 Stanger Street, Virginia Tech Blacksburg 24061 USA su: Scientific discoveries Logic Machine learning Scientific method Scientists sug: subj: Scientific discoveries Logic Machine learning Scientific method Scientists keyword: Confirmation Induction Logic of discovery Scientific discovery ab: Scientists routinely solve the problem of supplementing one's store of variables with new theoretical posits that can explain the previously inexplicable. The banality of success at this task obscures a remarkable fact. Generating hypotheses that contain novel variables and accurately project over a limited amount of additional data is so difficult-the space of possibilities so vast-that succeeding through guesswork is overwhelmingly unlikely despite a very large number of attempts. And yet scientists do generate hypotheses of this sort in very few tries. I argue that this poses a dilemma: either the long history of scientific success is a miracle, or there exists at least one method or algorithm for generating novel hypotheses with at least limited projectibility on the basis of what's available to the scientist at a time, namely a set of observations, the history of past conjectures, and some prior theoretical commitments. In other words, either ordinary scientific success is miraculous or there exists a logic of discovery at the heart of actual scientific method. pubtype: Academic Journal doctype: Article src: R language: English refInfo: copyright: @attributes: flag: Y custom: Synthese is a copyright of Springer, 2016. All Rights Reserved. item: Synthese holder: Springer Nature dt: @attributes: year: 2016 holdings: @attributes: islocal: N |
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