DEEP RECESSIONS, FAST RECOVERIES, AND FINANCIAL CRISES: EVIDENCE FROM THE AMERICAN RECORD.

Do steep recoveries follow deep recessions? Does it matter if a credit crunch or banking panic accompanies the recession? We look at the American historical experience in an attempt to answer these questions. The answers depend on the definition of a financial crisis and on how much of the recovery...

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Publicado en:Economic Inquiry Vol. 55; no. 1; pp. 527 - 542
Autores principales: Bordo, Michael D., Haubrich, Joseph G.
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Wiley-Blackwell Jan2017
Materias:
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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        atl: DEEP RECESSIONS, FAST RECOVERIES, AND FINANCIAL CRISES: EVIDENCE FROM THE AMERICAN RECORD.
      aug:
        au:
          Bordo, Michael D.
          Haubrich, Joseph G.
        affil:
          Board of Governors Professor of Economics, NBER and Hoover Institution, Rutgers University, New Brunswick NJ 08901
          Vice President and Economist, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Cleveland OH 44101 ‐ 1387
      su:
        United States
        Recessions
        Financial crises
        Economic recovery
        Business cycles
        Economic research
      sug:
        subj:
          Recessions
          Financial crises
          Economic recovery
          Business cycles
          United States
          Research and Development in the Social Sciences and Humanities
          Economic research
      ab: Do steep recoveries follow deep recessions? Does it matter if a credit crunch or banking panic accompanies the recession? We look at the American historical experience in an attempt to answer these questions. The answers depend on the definition of a financial crisis and on how much of the recovery is considered. But in general recessions associated with financial crises are followed by rapid recoveries. We find three exceptions to this pattern: the recovery from the Great Contraction in the 1930s, the recovery after the recession of the early 1990s, and the present recovery. The present recovery is strikingly more tepid than the 1990s. Possible factors to explain the slowness of this recovery include residential investment and policy uncertainty. ( JEL E32, N10, G01)
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    language: English
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