Scenario analysis of carbon emissions' anti-driving effect on Qingdao's energy structure adjustment with an optimization model, Part II: Energy system planning and management.
In this study, an inexact multistage stochastic mixed-integer programming (IMSMP) method was developed for supporting regional-scale energy system planning (EPS) associated with multiple uncertainties presented as discrete intervals, probability distributions and their combinations. An IMSMP-based e...
| Published in: | Journal of Environmental Management Vol. 188; pp. 120 - 137 |
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| Main Authors: | , , , , |
| Format: | Article |
| Published: |
Academic Press Inc.
Mar2017
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | View this record in EBSCOhost |
| fields | @attributes: recordID: 1 pdfLink: plink: https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=ssf&AN=120447867&site=ehost-live header: @attributes: shortDbName: ssf uiTerm: 120447867 longDbName: Social Sciences Full Text (H.W. Wilson) uiTag: AN controlInfo: bkinfo: jinfo: jid: 03014797 EMJ jtl: Journal of Environmental Management issn: 03014797 maglogo: N pubinfo: dt: Mar2017 vid: 188 pid: 735 pub: Academic Press Inc. artinfo: ui: 120447867 10.1016/j.jenvman.2016.12.001 ppf: 120 ppct: 17 formats: tig: atl: Scenario analysis of carbon emissions' anti-driving effect on Qingdao's energy structure adjustment with an optimization model, Part II: Energy system planning and management. aug: au: Wu, C.B. Huang, G.H. Liu, Z.P. Zhen, J.L. Yin, J.G. affil: MOE Key Laboratory of Regional Energy and Environmental Systems Optimization, S-C Resources and Environmental Research Academy, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China State Grid Shandong Electric Power Research Institute, Jinan 250002, China su: Qingdao (China) Cost effectiveness Mixed integer linear programming Automobile driving Total energy systems (On-site electric power production) Mathematical optimization Distribution (Probability theory) Automobiles & the environment sug: subj: Cost effectiveness Qingdao (China) Automobile Manufacturing New and used automobile and light-duty truck merchant wholesalers Automobile and Other Motor Vehicle Merchant Wholesalers New Car Dealers Automotive Body, Paint, and Interior Repair and Maintenance Automobile and light-duty motor vehicle manufacturing All Other Automotive Repair and Maintenance Mixed integer linear programming Automobile driving Total energy systems (On-site electric power production) Mathematical optimization Distribution (Probability theory) Automobiles & the environment keyword: Anti-driving effect Energy structure adjustment Inexact multistage stochastic programming Mixed-integer programming Scenario analysis Anti-driving effect Energy structure adjustment Inexact multistage stochastic programming Mixed-integer programming Scenario analysis ab: In this study, an inexact multistage stochastic mixed-integer programming (IMSMP) method was developed for supporting regional-scale energy system planning (EPS) associated with multiple uncertainties presented as discrete intervals, probability distributions and their combinations. An IMSMP-based energy system planning (IMSMP-ESP) model was formulated for Qingdao to demonstrate its applicability. Solutions which can provide optimal patterns of energy resources generation, conversion, transmission, allocation and facility capacity expansion schemes have been obtained. The results can help local decision makers generate cost-effective energy system management schemes and gain a comprehensive tradeoff between economic objectives and environmental requirements. Moreover, taking the CO 2 emissions scenarios mentioned in Part I into consideration, the anti-driving effect of carbon emissions on energy structure adjustment was studied based on the developed model and scenario analysis. Several suggestions can be concluded from the results: (a) to ensure the smooth realization of low-carbon and sustainable development, appropriate price control and fiscal subsidy on high-cost energy resources should be considered by the decision-makers; (b) compared with coal, natural gas utilization should be strongly encouraged in order to insure that Qingdao could reach the carbon discharges peak value in 2020; (c) to guarantee Qingdao's power supply security in the future, the construction of new power plants should be emphasised instead of enhancing the transmission capacity of grid infrastructure. pubtype: Academic Journal doctype: Article src: R language: English refInfo: copyright: @attributes: flag: N holdings: @attributes: islocal: N |
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