Evaluating the BLS 1988-2000 employment projections.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) employment projections for the period from 1988 to 2000 were borne out in most broad occupations; the chief source of error was the projection of changes in staffing patterns, attributable primarily to the conservative nature of the projections. The BLS occupatio...
| Published in: | Monthly Labor Review Vol. 126; no. 10; pp. 13 - 38 |
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| Main Authors: | , |
| Format: | Article |
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US Department of Labor
Oct2003
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | View this record in EBSCOhost |
| fields | @attributes: recordID: 1 pdfLink: plink: https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=ssf&AN=12134241&site=ehost-live header: @attributes: shortDbName: ssf uiTerm: 12134241 longDbName: Social Sciences Full Text (H.W. Wilson) uiTag: AN controlInfo: bkinfo: jinfo: jid: 00981818 MLR jtl: Monthly Labor Review issn: 00981818 maglogo: N pubinfo: dt: Oct2003 vid: 126 iid: 10 pid: 1929 pub: US Department of Labor artinfo: ui: 12134241 ppf: 13 ppct: 25 formats: fmt: – @attributes: type: T – @attributes: type: P size: 3.6MB tig: atl: Evaluating the BLS 1988-2000 employment projections. aug: au: Alpert, Andrew Auyer, Jill affil: Economist in the Office of Occupational Statistics and Employment Projections, Bureau of Labor Statistics. su: Labor supply Occupations Employment Labor market Employees Statistics on the working class Employee recruitment sug: subj: Labor supply Occupations Employment Labor market Employees Human Resources Consulting Services Administration of Human Resource Programs (except Education, Public Health, and Veterans' Affairs Programs) Temporary Help Services Statistics on the working class Employee recruitment ab: The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) employment projections for the period from 1988 to 2000 were borne out in most broad occupations; the chief source of error was the projection of changes in staffing patterns, attributable primarily to the conservative nature of the projections. The BLS occupational employment projections developed for the 1988-2000 period were reasonably accurate, correctly capturing most general occupational trends. As with previous evaluations, however, the inaccuracies that surfaced reflected a conservative tilt to the projections. The primary source of error was the projection of changes in the utilization of occupations by industry, or staffing patterns, rather than the projections of industry employment themselves. Overall, the authors state, the projections for 2000 at the major occupational group level were measurably better than those that had been made for 1995, but those for more fine-grained occupations were not. pubtype: Academic Journal doctype: Article src: R language: English refInfo: copyright: @attributes: flag: N holdings: @attributes: islocal: N |
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