Learning from Simple Indicative Conditionals.

An agent who receives information in the form of an indicative conditional statement and who trusts her source will modify her credences to bring them in line with the conditional. I will argue that the agent, upon the acquisition of such information, should, in general, expand her prior credence fu...

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Published in:Erkenntnis Vol. 82; no. 3; pp. 583 - 602
Main Author: Huisman, Leendert
Format: Article
Published: Springer Nature Jun2017
Subjects:
Online Access:View this record in EBSCOhost
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        Bayesian analysis
        Information theory
        Cognitive processing of language
        Expressive language
        Semantics (Philosophy)
        Meaning (Psychology)
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          Bayesian analysis
          Information theory
          Cognitive processing of language
          Expressive language
          Semantics (Philosophy)
          Meaning (Psychology)
      ab: An agent who receives information in the form of an indicative conditional statement and who trusts her source will modify her credences to bring them in line with the conditional. I will argue that the agent, upon the acquisition of such information, should, in general, expand her prior credence function to an indeterminate posterior one; that is, to a set of credence functions. Two different ways the agent might interpret the conditional will be presented, and the properties of the resulting indeterminate posteriors compared. The cause of the expansion from a single prior credence function to a set of credence functions forming the indeterminate posterior one will be explained. The expansion undermines the Bayesian dogma that the result of assimilating new information into a determinate prior credence functions is always a determinate posterior one.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Article
      src: R
    language: English
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