Assessment of an irritant gas plume model for epidemiologic study.

Previously, we reported the development of a Hazard Prediction and Assessment Capability plume dispersion model of the 2005 Graniteville, South Carolina, USA accidental release of chlorine. Here, we assess this model by spatial and statistical comparison with post-incident observed environmental ind...

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Publicado en:International Journal of Environmental Health Research Vol. 27; no. 4; pp. 276 - 293
Autores principales: Jani, Dev D., Wilson, Mark, Wickliffe, Jeffrey K., Shaffer, Jeffrey, Middleton, Tracy, Rando, Roy, Svendsen, Erik R.
Formato: pictorial research tables/charts Journal Article
Publicado: Taylor & Francis Ltd Aug2017
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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        10.1080/09603123.2017.1342226
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        atl: Assessment of an irritant gas plume model for epidemiologic study.
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          Jani, Dev D.
          Wilson, Mark
          Wickliffe, Jeffrey K.
          Shaffer, Jeffrey
          Middleton, Tracy
          Rando, Roy
          Svendsen, Erik R.
        affil: Department of Global Environmental Health Sciences, Tulane University School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, New Orleans, LA, USA
      sug:
        subj:
          Environmental Exposure Epidemiology
          Gases
          Human
          Dogs
          Chlorine
          Mortality
          South Carolina
      ab: Previously, we reported the development of a Hazard Prediction and Assessment Capability plume dispersion model of the 2005 Graniteville, South Carolina, USA accidental release of chlorine. Here, we assess this model by spatial and statistical comparison with post-incident observed environmental indicators of exposure and other types of observations. Spatial agreement was found when the model was compared to phytotoxic bleaching and corrosion events observed in 2 km radius around the release site. When spatially compared to locations of injured or killed animals, model predictions of the plume footprint were in relatively good agreement. Model-predicted human casualties differed from observed casualty counts primarily due to the shielding effect of buildings. A statistical comparison of observed dog health outcome-derived exposure vs. model predicted exposure showed relatively good agreement, particularly when a subcohort of indoor dogs was excluded. Evaluation and assessment of the building infiltration effect would further improve the model prior to application in epidemiologic study.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
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        research
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    language: English
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