Presidential Voting and the Local Economy: Evidence from Two Population-Based Data Sets.
We show that standard economic measures based on samples and richer newly available ones based on populations lead to different conclusions about democratic accountability. Previous research, which has primarily relied on sample-based measures, has mostly missed an important determinant of president...
| Publicado en: | Journal of Politics Vol. 79; no. 4; pp. 1419 - 1433 |
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| Autores principales: | , |
| Formato: | Artículo |
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University of Chicago Press
Oct2017
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| Acceso en línea: | Ver este registro en EBSCOhost |
| fields | @attributes: recordID: 1 pdfLink: plink: https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=ssf&AN=125535262&site=ehost-live header: @attributes: shortDbName: ssf uiTerm: 125535262 longDbName: Social Sciences Full Text (H.W. Wilson) uiTag: AN controlInfo: bkinfo: jinfo: jid: 00223816 JPO jtl: Journal of Politics issn: 00223816 maglogo: N pubinfo: dt: Oct2017 vid: 79 iid: 4 pid: 415 pub: University of Chicago Press artinfo: ui: 125535262 10.1086/692785 ppf: 1419 ppct: 14 formats: tig: atl: Presidential Voting and the Local Economy: Evidence from Two Population-Based Data Sets. aug: au: Healy, Andrew Lenz, Gabriel S. affil: Loyola Marymount University University of California, Berkeley su: California United States Voting research Cities & towns Economic history United States presidential elections Personal loans sug: subj: Voting research Cities & towns Economic history California United States Consumer Lending Executive Offices United States presidential elections Personal loans ab: We show that standard economic measures based on samples and richer newly available ones based on populations lead to different conclusions about democratic accountability. Previous research, which has primarily relied on sample-based measures, has mostly missed an important determinant of presidential election outcomes: the local economy. We detect the local economy's impact with two unique data sets, one of which includes data on all consumer loans made in California and the other a census of businesses. In contrast to measures subject to sampling error, these population-based measures indicate that economic conditions at the ZIP code and county level have an impact on presidential election outcomes. Presidents therefore face incentives to focus on electorally important geographic regions. pubtype: Academic Journal doctype: Article src: R language: English refInfo: copyright: @attributes: flag: N holdings: @attributes: islocal: N |
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