A random-censoring Poisson model for underreported data.

A major challenge when monitoring risks in socially deprived areas of under developed countries is that economic, epidemiological, and social data are typically underreported. Thus, statistical models that do not take the data quality into account will produce biased estimates. To deal with this pro...

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Publicado en:Statistics in Medicine Vol. 36; no. 30; pp. 4873 - 4893
Autores principales: Oliveira, Guilherme Lopes, Loschi, Rosangela Helena, Assunção, Renato Martins, de Oliveira, Guilherme Lopes
Formato: equations & formulas pictorial research tables/charts Journal Article
Publicado: Wiley-Blackwell 12/30/2017
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: 12/30/2017
      vid: 36
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      pub: Wiley-Blackwell
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        10.1002/sim.7456
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        atl: A random-censoring Poisson model for underreported data.
      aug:
        au:
          Oliveira, Guilherme Lopes
          Loschi, Rosangela Helena
          Assunção, Renato Martins
          de Oliveira, Guilherme Lopes
          Assunção, Renato Martins
        affil: Departamento de Estatística, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Av. Antônio Carlos, 6.627, Belo Horizonte Minas Gerais, 31270‐901, Brazil
      sug:
        subj:
          Poisson Distribution
          Models, Statistical
          Probability
          Algorithms
          Infant
          Statistics
          Infant Mortality
          Systems Analysis
          Infant, Newborn
          Computer Simulation
          Brazil
          Human
          Infant: 1-23 months
          Infant, Newborn: birth-1 month
      ab: A major challenge when monitoring risks in socially deprived areas of under developed countries is that economic, epidemiological, and social data are typically underreported. Thus, statistical models that do not take the data quality into account will produce biased estimates. To deal with this problem, counts in suspected regions are usually approached as censored information. The censored Poisson model can be considered, but all censored regions must be precisely known a priori, which is not a reasonable assumption in most practical situations. We introduce the random-censoring Poisson model (RCPM) which accounts for the uncertainty about both the count and the data reporting processes. Consequently, for each region, we will be able to estimate the relative risk for the event of interest as well as the censoring probability. To facilitate the posterior sampling process, we propose a Markov chain Monte Carlo scheme based on the data augmentation technique. We run a simulation study comparing the proposed RCPM with 2 competitive models. Different scenarios are considered. RCPM and censored Poisson model are applied to account for potential underreporting of early neonatal mortality counts in regions of Minas Gerais State, Brazil, where data quality is known to be poor.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype:
        equations & formulas
        pictorial
        research
        tables/charts
        Journal Article
      ougenre: Article
    language: English
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