JOBLESS RECOVERIES: STAGNATION OR STRUCTURAL CHANGE?
Within the existing literature a number of competing explanations for jobless recoveries have emerged. On the one hand there is evidence of dynamic structural change including offshoring/globalization and technological advances that are resulting in the loss of middle‐skill (routine) employment. Oth...
| Publicado en: | Economic Inquiry Vol. 56; no. 2; pp. 709 - 724 |
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| Autores principales: | , |
| Formato: | Artículo |
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Wiley-Blackwell
Apr2018
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| Acceso en línea: | Ver este registro en EBSCOhost |
| fields | @attributes: recordID: 1 pdfLink: plink: https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=ssf&AN=128133098&site=ehost-live header: @attributes: shortDbName: ssf uiTerm: 128133098 longDbName: Social Sciences Full Text (H.W. Wilson) uiTag: AN controlInfo: bkinfo: jinfo: jid: 00952583 EIQ jtl: Economic Inquiry issn: 00952583 maglogo: Y pubinfo: dt: Apr2018 vid: 56 iid: 2 pid: 480 pub: Wiley-Blackwell artinfo: ui: 128133098 10.1111/ecin.12535 ppf: 709 ppct: 15 formats: fmt: – @attributes: type: T – @attributes: type: P size: 745KB tig: atl: JOBLESS RECOVERIES: STAGNATION OR STRUCTURAL CHANGE? aug: au: Burger, John D. Schwartz, Jeremy S. affil: Professor and Research Impact Fellow, Sellinger School of Business, Loyola University Maryland, Baltimore, MD 21210 Associate Professor, Sellinger School of Business, Loyola University Maryland, Baltimore, MD 21210 su: Unemployment Labor market Stagnation (Economics) Semiskilled labor Offshore outsourcing sug: subj: Unemployment Labor market Stagnation (Economics) Semiskilled labor Offshore outsourcing ab: Within the existing literature a number of competing explanations for jobless recoveries have emerged. On the one hand there is evidence of dynamic structural change including offshoring/globalization and technological advances that are resulting in the loss of middle‐skill (routine) employment. Other studies emphasize a less dynamic economy with slower growth, reduced labor market fluidity, a decline in startup activity, and even economic stagnation. This study exploits variation among U.S. states to assess the degree that stagnation and/or important structural changes in the economy contribute to the recent phenomenon of jobless recoveries. We find support for both the stagnation and structural change theories of jobless recoveries. On the stagnation side, we find evidence that lower startup rates are a significant predictor of jobless recoveries. We also find evidence that links dynamic structural change to the jobless recovery phenomenon. More specifically states experiencing a long‐run downward trend in the share of routine employment are more likely to experience a jobless recovery. Our results are consistent with the polarization theory where routine‐replacing technological advances permanently reduce demand for middle‐skill labor, thus contributing to jobless recoveries. (<italic>JEL</italic> E32, E24) pubtype: Academic Journal doctype: Article src: R language: English refInfo: copyright: @attributes: flag: N holdings: @attributes: islocal: N |
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