A hybrid clustering and classification approach for predicting crash injury severity on rural roads.

As a threat for transportation system, traffic crashes have a wide range of social consequences for governments. Traffic crashes are increasing in developing countries and Iran as a developing country is not immune from this risk. There are several researches in the literature to predict traffic cra...

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Publicado en:International Journal of Injury Control & Safety Promotion Vol. 25; no. 1; pp. 85 - 102
Autores principales: Hasheminejad, Seyed Hessam-Allah, Zahedi, Mohsen, Hasheminejad, Seyed Mohammad Hossein
Formato: research Journal Article
Publicado: Taylor & Francis Ltd Mar2018
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: Mar2018
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      pub: Taylor & Francis Ltd
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        atl: A hybrid clustering and classification approach for predicting crash injury severity on rural roads.
      aug:
        au:
          Hasheminejad, Seyed Hessam-Allah
          Zahedi, Mohsen
          Hasheminejad, Seyed Mohammad Hossein
        affil: Department of Civil Engineering, Razi University, Kermanshah, Iran
      sug:
        subj:
          Developing Countries
          Algorithms
          Models, Statistical
          Accidents, Traffic
          Accidents, Traffic Classification
          Wounds and Injuries Epidemiology
          Cluster Analysis
          Child
          Iran
          Male
          Adult
          Young Adult
          Female
          Child, Preschool
          Middle Age
          Trauma Severity Indices
          Forecasting
          Infant
          Aged
          Environment
          Adolescence
          Rural Population
          Infant, Newborn
          Human
          Neural Networks (Computer)
          Validation Studies
          Comparative Studies
          Evaluation Research
          Multicenter Studies
          Child: 6-12 years
          Adult: 19-44 years
          Child, Preschool: 2-5 years
          Middle Aged: 45-64 years
          Infant: 1-23 months
          Aged: 65+ years
          Adolescent: 13-18 years
          Infant, Newborn: birth-1 month
          Male
          Female
      ab: As a threat for transportation system, traffic crashes have a wide range of social consequences for governments. Traffic crashes are increasing in developing countries and Iran as a developing country is not immune from this risk. There are several researches in the literature to predict traffic crash severity based on artificial neural networks (ANNs), support vector machines and decision trees. This paper attempts to investigate the crash injury severity of rural roads by using a hybrid clustering and classification approach to compare the performance of classification algorithms before and after applying the clustering. In this paper, a novel rule-based genetic algorithm (GA) is proposed to predict crash injury severity, which is evaluated by performance criteria in comparison with classification algorithms like ANN. The results obtained from analysis of 13,673 crashes (5600 property damage, 778 fatal crashes, 4690 slight injuries and 2605 severe injuries) on rural roads in Tehran Province of Iran during 2011–2013 revealed that the proposed GA method outperforms other classification algorithms based on classification metrics like precision (86%), recall (88%) and accuracy (87%). Moreover, the proposed GA method has the highest level of interpretation, is easy to understand and provides feedback to analysts.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype:
        research
        Journal Article
      ougenre: Article
    language: English
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