THE INTERNAL AND EXTERNAL VALIDITY OF THE REGRESSION DISCONTINUITY DESIGN: A META‐ANALYSIS OF 15 WITHIN‐STUDY COMPARISONS.
Abstract: <italic>Theory predicts that regression discontinuity (RD) provides valid causal inference at the cutoff score that determines treatment assignment. One purpose of this paper is to test RD's internal validity across 15 studies. Each of them assesses the correspondence between causal estima...
| Publicado en: | Journal of Policy Analysis & Management Vol. 37; no. 2; pp. 403 - 430 |
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| Autores principales: | , , , , , , |
| Formato: | Artículo |
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Wiley-Blackwell
Spring2018
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | Ver este registro en EBSCOhost |
| fields | @attributes: recordID: 1 pdfLink: plink: https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=ssf&AN=128817435&site=ehost-live header: @attributes: shortDbName: ssf uiTerm: 128817435 longDbName: Social Sciences Full Text (H.W. Wilson) uiTag: AN controlInfo: bkinfo: jinfo: jid: 02768739 JPA jtl: Journal of Policy Analysis & Management issn: 02768739 maglogo: Y pubinfo: dt: Spring2018 vid: 37 iid: 2 pid: 480 pub: Wiley-Blackwell artinfo: ui: 128817435 10.1002/pam.22051 ppf: 403 ppct: 27 formats: tig: atl: THE INTERNAL AND EXTERNAL VALIDITY OF THE REGRESSION DISCONTINUITY DESIGN: A META‐ANALYSIS OF 15 WITHIN‐STUDY COMPARISONS. aug: au: Chaplin, Duncan D. Cook, Thomas D. Zurovac, Jelena Coopersmith, Jared S. Finucane, Mariel M. Vollmer, Lauren N. Morris, Rebecca E. su: Regression discontinuity design Randomized controlled trials Bayesian analysis Statistical decision making Standard deviations sug: subj: Regression discontinuity design Randomized controlled trials Bayesian analysis Statistical decision making Standard deviations ab: Abstract: <italic>Theory predicts that regression discontinuity (RD) provides valid causal inference at the cutoff score that determines treatment assignment. One purpose of this paper is to test RD's internal validity across 15 studies. Each of them assesses the correspondence between causal estimates from an RD study and a randomized control trial (RCT) when the estimates are made at the same cutoff point where they should not differ asymptotically. However, statistical error, imperfect design implementation, and a plethora of different possible analysis options, mean that they might nonetheless differ. We test whether they do, assuming that the bias potential is greater with RDs than RCTs. A second purpose of this paper is to investigate the external validity of RD by exploring how the size of the bias estimates varies across the 15 studies, for they differ in their settings, interventions, analyses, and implementation details. Both Bayesian and frequentist meta‐analysis methods show that the RD bias is below 0.01 standard deviations on average, indicating RD's high internal validity. When the study‐specific estimates are shrunken to capitalize on the information the other studies provide, all the RD causal estimates fall within 0.07 standard deviations of their RCT counterparts, now indicating high external validity. With unshrunken estimates, the mean RD bias is still essentially zero, but the distribution of RD bias estimates is less tight, especially with smaller samples and when parametric RD analyses are used</italic>. pubtype: Academic Journal doctype: Article src: R language: English refInfo: copyright: @attributes: flag: N holdings: @attributes: islocal: N |
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