The heuristic conception of inference to the best explanation.

An influential suggestion about the relationship between Bayesianism and inference to the best explanation (IBE) holds that IBE functions as a heuristic to approximate Bayesian reasoning. While this view promises to unify Bayesianism and IBE in a very attractive manner, important elements of the vie...

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Published in:Philosophical Studies Vol. 175; no. 7; pp. 1745 - 1767
Main Author: Dellsén, Finnur
Format: Article
Published: Springer Nature Jul2018
Subjects:
Online Access:View this record in EBSCOhost
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        10.1007/s11098-017-0933-2
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        atl: The heuristic conception of inference to the best explanation.
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        au: Dellsén, Finnur
        affil: School of Philosophy, University College Dublin, Belfield, Dublin 4, Ireland
      su:
        Heuristic
        Theory of knowledge
        Reasoning
        Inference (Logic)
        Hypothesis
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        subj:
          Heuristic
          Theory of knowledge
          Reasoning
          Inference (Logic)
          Hypothesis
      keyword:
        Absolute versus comparative probabilities
        Bayesianism
        Inference to the best explanation
        Inferential heuristics
        Working hypotheses
      ab: An influential suggestion about the relationship between Bayesianism and inference to the best explanation (IBE) holds that IBE functions as a heuristic to approximate Bayesian reasoning. While this view promises to unify Bayesianism and IBE in a very attractive manner, important elements of the view have not yet been spelled out in detail. I present and argue for a heuristic conception of IBE on which IBE serves primarily to locate the most probable available explanatory hypothesis to serve as a working hypothesis in an agent’s further investigations. Along the way, I criticize what I consider to be an overly ambitious conception of the heuristic role of IBE, according to which IBE serves as a guide to absolute probability values. My own conception, by contrast, requires only that IBE can function as a guide to the comparative probability values of available hypotheses. This is shown to be a much more realistic role for IBE given the nature and limitations of the explanatory considerations with which IBE operates.
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      doctype: Article
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    language: English
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