An Online Risk Index for the Cross-Sectional Prediction of New HIV Chlamydia, and Gonorrhea Diagnoses Across U.S. Counties and Across Years.

The present study evaluated the potential use of Twitter data for providing risk indices of STIs. We developed online risk indices (ORIs) based on tweets to predict new HIV, gonorrhea, and chlamydia diagnoses, across U.S. counties and across 5 years. We analyzed over one hundred million tweets from...

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Published in:AIDS & Behavior Vol. 22; no. 7; pp. 2322 - 2334
Main Authors: Chan, Man-pui Sally, Lohmann, Sophie, Albarracín, Dolores, Morales, Alex, Zhai, Chengxiang, Ungar, Lyle, Holtgrave, David R.
Format: research tables/charts Journal Article
Published: Springer Nature Jul2018
Online Access:View this record in EBSCOhost
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        atl: An Online Risk Index for the Cross-Sectional Prediction of New HIV Chlamydia, and Gonorrhea Diagnoses Across U.S. Counties and Across Years.
      aug:
        au:
          Chan, Man-pui Sally
          Lohmann, Sophie
          Albarracín, Dolores
          Morales, Alex
          Zhai, Chengxiang
          Ungar, Lyle
          Holtgrave, David R.
        affil: Department of Psychology, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, 61820, Champaign, IL, USA
      sug:
        subj:
          HIV Infections
          Risk Factors
          Gonorrhea Diagnosis
          Chlamydia Infections
          Human
          Cross Sectional Studies
          Online Services
          Outcomes (Health Care)
          Social Media
          United States
          Geographic Locations
          Vocabulary
          Semantics
          Spatial Behavior
          Sexually Transmitted Diseases
          Data Analysis Software
      ab: The present study evaluated the potential use of Twitter data for providing risk indices of STIs. We developed online risk indices (ORIs) based on tweets to predict new HIV, gonorrhea, and chlamydia diagnoses, across U.S. counties and across 5 years. We analyzed over one hundred million tweets from 2009 to 2013 using open-vocabulary techniques and estimated the ORIs for a particular year by entering tweets from the same year into multiple semantic models (one for each year). The ORIs were moderately to strongly associated with the actual rates (.35 < rs < .68 for 93% of models), both nationwide and when applied to single states (California, Florida, and New York). Later models were slightly better than older ones at predicting gonorrhea and chlamydia, but not at predicting HIV. The proposed technique using free social media data provides signals of community health at a high temporal and spatial resolution.
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    language: English
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