Predicting Language Difficulties in Middle Childhood From Early Developmental Milestones: A Comparison of Traditional Regression and Machine Learning Techniques.

Purpose: The current study aimed to compare traditional logistic regression models with machine learning algorithms to investigate the predictive ability of (a) communication performance at 3 years old on language outcomes at 10 years old and (b) broader developmental skills (motor, social, and adap...

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Publicado en:Journal of Speech, Language & Hearing Research Vol. 61; no. 8; pp. 1926 - 1945
Autores principales: Armstrong, Rebecca, Symons, Martyn, Scott, James G., Arnott, Wendy L., Copland, David A., McMahon, Katie L., Whitehouse, Andrew J. O.
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: American Speech-Language-Hearing Association Aug2018
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Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: Aug2018
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      pub: American Speech-Language-Hearing Association
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        10.1044/2018_JSLHR-L-17-0210
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        atl: Predicting Language Difficulties in Middle Childhood From Early Developmental Milestones: A Comparison of Traditional Regression and Machine Learning Techniques.
      aug:
        au:
          Armstrong, Rebecca
          Symons, Martyn
          Scott, James G.
          Arnott, Wendy L.
          Copland, David A.
          McMahon, Katie L.
          Whitehouse, Andrew J. O.
        affil:
          School of Health and Rehabilitation Sciences, University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia
          Centre for Clinical Research, University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia
          Centre for Advanced Imaging, University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia
          Telethon Kids Institute, University of Western Australia, Perth
          National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC) Fetal Alcohol Spectrum Disorder (FASD) Research Australia, Centre of Research Excellence, Perth
          Metro North Mental Health, Royal Brisbane and Women's Hospital, Australia
          Hear and Say, Brisbane, Australia
          School of Clinical Science, Institute of Health and Biomedical Innovation, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Australia
      su:
        Algorithms
        Chi-squared test
        Child development deviations
        Computer software
        Confidence intervals
        Decision trees
        Language disorders in children
        Longitudinal method
        Multivariate analysis
        Questionnaires
        Logistic regression analysis
        Predictive validity
        Odds ratio
      sug:
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          Software publishers (except video game publishers)
          Computer and software stores
          Computer and Computer Peripheral Equipment and Software Merchant Wholesalers
          Computer, computer peripheral and pre-packaged software merchant wholesalers
          Algorithms
          Chi-squared test
          Child development deviations
          Computer software
          Confidence intervals
          Decision trees
          Language disorders in children
          Longitudinal method
          Multivariate analysis
          Questionnaires
          Logistic regression analysis
          Predictive validity
          Odds ratio
      ab: Purpose: The current study aimed to compare traditional logistic regression models with machine learning algorithms to investigate the predictive ability of (a) communication performance at 3 years old on language outcomes at 10 years old and (b) broader developmental skills (motor, social, and adaptive) at 3 years old on language outcomes at 10 years old. Method: Participants (N = 1,322) were drawn from the Western Australian Pregnancy Cohort (Raine) Study (Straker et al., 2017). A general developmental screener, the Infant Monitoring Questionnaire (Squires, Bricker, & Potter, 1990), was completed by caregivers at the 3-year follow-up. Language ability at 10 years old was assessed using the Clinical Evaluation of Language Fundamentals-Third Edition (Semel, Wiig, & Secord, 1995). Logistic regression models and interpretable machine learning algorithms were used to assess predictive abilities of early developmental milestones for later language outcomes. Results: Overall, the findings showed that prediction accuracies were comparable between logistic regression and machine learning models using communication-only performance as well as performance on communication and broader developmental domains to predict language performance at 10 years old. Decision trees are incorporated to visually present these findings but must be interpreted with caution because of the poor accuracy of the models overall. Conclusions: The current study provides preliminary evidence that machine learning algorithms provide equivalent predictive accuracy to traditional methods. Furthermore, the inclusion of broader developmental skills did not improve predictive capability. Assessment of language at more than 1 time point is necessary to ensure children whose language delays emerge later are identified and supported. Supplemental Material: https://doi.org/10.23641/asha. 6879719
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Article
      src: R
    language: English
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