Algorithm for diabetes risk evaluation from past gestational diabetes data.

Gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) is defined as glucose intolerance that is diagnosed in pregnancy period, leading to possible complications for both mother and fetus during pregnancy. The aim of this study was to build an objective method to evaluate diabetes mellitus (DM) risk from past GDM data...

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Published in:Technology & Health Care Vol. 26; no. 4; pp. 637 - 649
Main Authors: Marozas, Mindaugas, Sosunkevič, Sergej, Lukoševičius, Arunas, Francaitė-Daugėlienė, Miglė, Veličkienė, Džilda
Format: research tables/charts Journal Article
Published: Sage Publications Inc. 2018
Online Access:View this record in EBSCOhost
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      dt: 2018
      vid: 26
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      pub: Sage Publications Inc.
      place: Thousand Oaks, California
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        10.3233/THC-181325
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      tig:
        atl: Algorithm for diabetes risk evaluation from past gestational diabetes data.
      aug:
        au:
          Marozas, Mindaugas
          Sosunkevič, Sergej
          Lukoševičius, Arunas
          Francaitė-Daugėlienė, Miglė
          Veličkienė, Džilda
        affil: Biomedical Engineering Institute, Kaunas University of Technology, Kaunas, Lithuania
      sug:
        subj:
          Algorithms
          Diabetes Mellitus Epidemiology
          Diabetes Mellitus, Gestational Epidemiology
          Life Style
          Time Factors
          Probability
          Female
          Socioeconomic Factors
          Pregnancy
          Reproductive History
          Risk Assessment
          Health Behavior
          Human
          Female
      ab: Gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) is defined as glucose intolerance that is diagnosed in pregnancy period, leading to possible complications for both mother and fetus during pregnancy. The aim of this study was to build an objective method to evaluate diabetes mellitus (DM) risk from past GDM data recorded 15 years ago and find a short list of most informative indicators. The dataset consists of demographic, lifestyle, clinical, genetic and pregnancy related information recorded 15 years ago. Due to the large time gap data are limited and have missing values (MVs). Follow-up tests were performed to see if DM or impaired metabolism has developed after pregnancy with previously diagnosed GDM. The research steps involve pre-processing data to evaluate MVs, finding most informative attributes and testing standard classification algorithms to combine in to most effective voting meta-algorithm. Initially the attributes and records with large number of MVs were rejected. A small percentage (2.04%) was imputed using regression based methods. The data set was prepared for two scenarios: classification in two classes (1-healthy; 2-impaired metabolism including DM) and three classes (1-healthy; 2-impaired metabolism; 3-DM). Voting meta-algorithm combining best algorithms of 21 from five different groups including Bayesian, regression, lazy, rule, and decision trees makes classification more objective and not depending on preferences. Relative frequency of occurrence (RFO) analysis of attributes combined with voting meta-algorithm helped finding optimal amount of attributes giving best possible classification result. The algorithm applied to two class data set with 12 selected attributes produced accuracy of 75.85 and AUC = 0.82 with standard error of 0.11. Similarly for three class dataset the 9 attributes were selected allowing to reach classification accuracy 63.77 and AUC = 0.76 with standard error of 0.1. Meta-algorithm based classification of limited anamnestic GDM related data for DM prediction is proving to be effective. Testing multiple algorithms and performing RFO analysis appears to be natural and objective way of selecting most informative attributes and evaluating their importance.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype:
        research
        tables/charts
        Journal Article
      ougenre: Article
    language: English
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