“It’s Largely a Rigged System”: Voter Confidence and the Winner Effect in 2016.
The 2016 presidential election provided a unique opportunity to revisit two competing hypotheses for how voters establish their perceptions of electoral integrity. First, mass public opinion is believed to derive from elite messages. In the 2016 presidential campaign, candidate Donald Trump maintain...
| Publicado en: | Political Research Quarterly Vol. 71; no. 4; pp. 854 - 869 |
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| Autores principales: | , , |
| Formato: | Artículo |
| Publicado: |
Sage Publications Inc.
Dec2018
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| Acceso en línea: | Ver este registro en EBSCOhost |
| fields | @attributes: recordID: 1 pdfLink: plink: https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=ssf&AN=132556695&site=ehost-live header: @attributes: shortDbName: ssf uiTerm: 132556695 longDbName: Social Sciences Full Text (H.W. Wilson) uiTag: AN controlInfo: bkinfo: jinfo: jid: 10659129 PTQ jtl: Political Research Quarterly issn: 10659129 maglogo: N pubinfo: dt: Dec2018 vid: 71 iid: 4 pid: 344 pub: Sage Publications Inc. artinfo: ui: 132556695 10.1177/1065912918768006 ppf: 854 ppct: 15 formats: tig: atl: “It’s Largely a Rigged System”: Voter Confidence and the Winner Effect in 2016. aug: au: Sinclair, Betsy Smith, Steven S. Tucker, Patrick D. affil: Washington University in St. Louis, MO, USA Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA su: Trump, Donald, 1946- Confidence United States presidential election, 2016 Voter attitudes Public opinion on political candidates Computer hacking Winners Losers sug: subj: Confidence United States presidential election, 2016 Voter attitudes Public opinion on political candidates Computer hacking Winners Losers Trump, Donald, 1946- keyword: 2016 election Donald Trump public opinion Russian hacking voter confidence winner effect 2016 election Donald Trump public opinion Russian hacking voter confidence winner effect ab: The 2016 presidential election provided a unique opportunity to revisit two competing hypotheses for how voters establish their perceptions of electoral integrity. First, mass public opinion is believed to derive from elite messages. In the 2016 presidential campaign, candidate Donald Trump maintained that the election system was “rigged,” while election administration experts and officials received considerable media coverage in their efforts to counter Trump’s claims. Second, literature on voter confidence has established a “winner effect”—voters who cast ballots for winners are more likely than voters on the losing side to believe their vote was counted correctly. Thus, voters were exposed to two theoretically opposite effects. In this paper, we find that the “winner” effect mitigates the effects from strong pre-election cues from elites. We also show the effect of pre-election attention to the rigging issue, find a symmetry of the election outcome effect for winners and losers, and reconsider our explanations of the winner effect. Finally, we go beyond the existing studies of the winner effect to consider the kind of citizens who are most susceptible to that effect. pubtype: Academic Journal doctype: Article src: R language: English refInfo: copyright: @attributes: flag: N holdings: @attributes: islocal: N |
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