PREDICTING PRESSURE INJURY IN CRITICAL CARE PATIENTS: A MACHINE-LEARNING MODEL.

Background Hospital-acquired pressure injuries are a serious problem among critical care patients. Some can be prevented by using measures such as specialty beds, which are not feasible for every patient because of costs. However, decisions about which patient would benefit most from a specialty bed...

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Publicado en:American Journal of Critical Care Vol. 27; no. 6; pp. 461 - 469
Autores principales: Alderden, Jenny, Pepper, Ginette Alyce, Wilson, Andrew, Whitney, Joanne D., Richardson, Stephanie, Butcher, Ryan, Jo, Yeonjung, Cummins, Mollie Rebecca
Formato: research tables/charts Journal Article
Publicado: American Association of Critical-Care Nurses Nov2018
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: Nov2018
      vid: 27
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      pub: American Association of Critical-Care Nurses
      place: Alisa Veijo, California
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        atl: PREDICTING PRESSURE INJURY IN CRITICAL CARE PATIENTS: A MACHINE-LEARNING MODEL.
      aug:
        au:
          Alderden, Jenny
          Pepper, Ginette Alyce
          Wilson, Andrew
          Whitney, Joanne D.
          Richardson, Stephanie
          Butcher, Ryan
          Jo, Yeonjung
          Cummins, Mollie Rebecca
        affil: professor, College of Nursing, University of Utah.
      sug:
        subj:
          Critically Ill Patients
          Pressure Ulcer Risk Factors
          Risk Assessment Methods
          Human
          Male
          Female
          Adult
          Middle Age
          Aged
          Utah
          Machine Learning
          Models, Theoretical
          Algorithms
          Electronic Health Records
          Data Mining Methods
          Random Sample
          Data Analysis Software
          Decision Trees
          Data Analysis, Statistical Methods
          Length of Stay
          Pressure Ulcer Therapy
          Pressure Ulcer Classification
          Braden Scale for Predicting Pressure Sore Risk
          Scales
          Funding Source
          Adult: 19-44 years
          Middle Aged: 45-64 years
          Aged: 65+ years
          Male
          Female
      ab: Background Hospital-acquired pressure injuries are a serious problem among critical care patients. Some can be prevented by using measures such as specialty beds, which are not feasible for every patient because of costs. However, decisions about which patient would benefit most from a specialty bed are difficult because results of existing tools to determine risk for pressure injury indicate that most critical care patients are at high risk. Objective To develop a model for predicting development of pressure injuries among surgical critical care patients. Methods Data from electronic health records were divided into training (67%) and testing (33%) data sets, and a model was developed by using a random forest algorithm via the R package "randomforest." Results Among a sample of 6376 patients, hospital-acquired pressure injuries of stage 1 or greater (outcome variable 1) developed in 516 patients (8.1%) and injuries of stage 2 or greater (outcome variable 2) developed in 257 (4.0%). Random forest models were developed to predict stage 1 and greater and stage 2 and greater injuries by using the testing set to evaluate classifier performance. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for both models was 0.79. Conclusion This machine-learning approach differs from other available models because it does not require clinicians to input information into a tool (eg, the Braden Scale). Rather, it uses information readily available in electronic health records. Next steps include testing in an independent sample and then calibration to optimize specificity.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype:
        research
        tables/charts
        Journal Article
      ougenre: Article
    language: English
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