REAL EXCHANGE RATE, MONETARY POLICY, AND THE U.S. ECONOMY: EVIDENCE FROM A FAVAR MODEL.

This paper examines the effects of exchange rate depreciation to the U.S. economy in a factor‐augmented vector autoregression model using monthly data of 148 variables for the post–Bretton Woods period of 1973–2017. Exchange rate shock is identified to reflect exogenous disturbances to the foreign e...

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Publicado en:Economic Inquiry Vol. 57; no. 1; pp. 552 - 569
Autores principales: Sun, Wei, De, Kuhelika
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Wiley-Blackwell Jan2019
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Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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        atl: REAL EXCHANGE RATE, MONETARY POLICY, AND THE U.S. ECONOMY: EVIDENCE FROM A FAVAR MODEL.
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          Sun, Wei
          De, Kuhelika
        affil: Associate Professor, Department of Economics, Seidman College of Business, Grand Valley State University, Grand Rapids MI, 49504
      su:
        United States
        Price inflation
        United States economy
        Monetary policy
        Foreign exchange rates
        Foreign exchange market
      sug:
        subj:
          Price inflation
          United States
          United States economy
          Monetary policy
          Foreign exchange rates
          Foreign exchange market
      ab: This paper examines the effects of exchange rate depreciation to the U.S. economy in a factor‐augmented vector autoregression model using monthly data of 148 variables for the post–Bretton Woods period of 1973–2017. Exchange rate shock is identified to reflect exogenous disturbances to the foreign exchange market, and movements in exchange rate that are not accounted for by changes in the U.S. monetary policy. We find that depreciation is expansionary and inflationary to the broad U.S. economy, the current account improves over time conforming to the J‐curve theory, and monetary policy is leaning against the wind.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
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      src: R
    language: English
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