Heterogeneous global health stock and growth: quantitative evidence from 140 countries, 1990-2100.
Background: In the prevailing economic perspective, health is viewed as a type of capital stock that yields 'healthy days' in human society. However, evaluations of this health capital stock are still limited to specific contexts. The primary aim of this study is to measure and forecast the global h...
| Published in: | Archives of Public Health Vol. 76; no. 1 |
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| Main Authors: | , , |
| Format: | Journal Article |
| Published: |
BioMed Central
12/28/2018
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| Online Access: | View this record in EBSCOhost |
| fields | @attributes: recordID: 1 pdfLink: plink: https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=ccm&AN=133748795&site=ehost-live header: @attributes: shortDbName: ccm uiTerm: 133748795 longDbName: CINAHL Complete uiTag: AN controlInfo: bkinfo: dissinfo: jinfo: jid: 07787367 1CFP jtl: Archives of Public Health issn: 07787367 maglogo: N pubinfo: dt: 12/28/2018 vid: 76 iid: 1 pid: 24147 pub: BioMed Central artinfo: ui: 133748795 133748795 NLM30607246 10.1186/s13690-018-0327-8 NLM30607246 133748795 ppct: 1 formats: tig: atl: Heterogeneous global health stock and growth: quantitative evidence from 140 countries, 1990-2100. aug: au: Jumbri, Isma Addi Ikeda, Shinya Managi, Shunsuke affil: Graduate School of Environmental Studies, Tohoku University, Sendai, Japan sug: ab: Background: In the prevailing economic perspective, health is viewed as a type of capital stock that yields 'healthy days' in human society. However, evaluations of this health capital stock are still limited to specific contexts. The primary aim of this study is to measure and forecast the global health stocks in 140 countries from 1990 to 2100.Methods: The health capital stock in each country from 1990 to 2015 was estimated using a capital approach. The future health stocks between 2016 and 2100 were forecast using a time-series model.Results: Based on the health stocks from 1990 to 2015, low-income countries have much larger and more rapidly growing health stocks. In the long-term, to 2100, upper-middle income countries, particularly countries in the Middle East and North Africa, exhibit great growth that benefits from the peaks in their youth or working-age populations. Immigration also contributes to health stock growth, as do other factors, e.g., the fertility rate, population ageing, and working-age and youth populations.Conclusions: Health stock is a vital component of global sustainable development that should be consistently included as a stock-based sustainability index in the evaluations of other capital to accurately measure national wealth and sustainability. pubtype: Academic Journal doctype: Journal Article ougenre: Article language: English refInfo: holdings: @attributes: islocal: N |
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