Belief dependence: How do the numbers count?
This paper is about how to aggregate outside opinion. If two experts are on one side of an issue, while three experts are on the other side, what should a non-expert believe? Certainly, the non-expert should take into account more than just the numbers. But which other factors are relevant, and why?...
| Publicado en: | Philosophical Studies Vol. 176; no. 2; pp. 297 - 320 |
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| Formato: | Artículo |
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Springer Nature
Feb2019
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| Acceso en línea: | Ver este registro en EBSCOhost |
| fields | @attributes: recordID: 1 pdfLink: plink: https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=hlh&AN=133898075&site=ehost-live header: @attributes: shortDbName: hlh uiTerm: 133898075 longDbName: Humanities International Complete uiTag: AN controlInfo: bkinfo: jinfo: jid: 00318116 4L8 jtl: Philosophical Studies issn: 00318116 maglogo: N pubinfo: dt: Feb2019 vid: 176 iid: 2 pid: 237 pub: Springer Nature artinfo: ui: 133898075 10.1007/s11098-017-1016-0 ppf: 297 ppct: 23 formats: fmt: – @attributes: type: T – @attributes: type: P size: 430KB tig: atl: Belief dependence: How do the numbers count? aug: au: Barnett, Zach affil: Brown University, Providence, RI, USA su: Legal opinions Belief & doubt Thought & thinking Specialists Relevance sug: subj: Legal opinions Belief & doubt Thought & thinking Specialists Relevance keyword: Belief dependence Disagreement Epistemology Social epistemology ab: This paper is about how to aggregate outside opinion. If two experts are on one side of an issue, while three experts are on the other side, what should a non-expert believe? Certainly, the non-expert should take into account more than just the numbers. But which other factors are relevant, and why? According to the view developed here, one important factor is whether the experts should have been expected, in advance, to reach the same conclusion. When the agreement of two (or of twenty) thinkers can be predicted with certainty in advance, their shared belief is worth only as much as one of their beliefs would be worth alone. This expectational model of belief dependence can be applied whether we think in terms of credences or in terms of all-or-nothing beliefs. pubtype: Academic Journal doctype: Article src: R language: English refInfo: copyright: @attributes: flag: Y custom: Philosophical Studies is a copyright of Springer, 2019. All Rights Reserved. item: Philosophical Studies holder: Springer Nature dt: @attributes: year: 2019 holdings: @attributes: islocal: N |
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