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TÜRKİYE’NİN İTHALAT TALEP FONKSİYONUNUN YAPISAL KIRILMALI EŞBÜTÜNLEŞME ANALİZİ İLE TAHMİNİ.

The aim of this study is to estimate the import demand function of Turkey for the period of 2001-2015 by using structural breakdown cointegration analysis and policy proposal based on the estimation results. In this context, we employed Maki (2012) test for cointegration which allows up to five stru...

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Published in:Abant İzzet Baysal Üniversitesi Journal of Social Sciences / Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi Vol. 18; no. 4; pp. 67 - 85
Main Authors: ALAKBAROV, Naib, ÖZKAYA, Mehmet Hilmi, GÜNDÜZ, Murat, ŞAŞMAZ, Mahmut Ünsal
Format: Article
Published: Journal of Abant Social Sciences Kis2018
Online Access:View this record in EBSCOhost
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      issn: 13030035
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      dt: Kis2018
      vid: 18
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      pub: Journal of Abant Social Sciences
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        134210731
        10.11616/asbed.v18i41997.505850
      ppf: 67
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        atl: TÜRKİYE’NİN İTHALAT TALEP FONKSİYONUNUN YAPISAL KIRILMALI EŞBÜTÜNLEŞME ANALİZİ İLE TAHMİNİ.
      aug:
        au:
          ALAKBAROV, Naib
          ÖZKAYA, Mehmet Hilmi
          GÜNDÜZ, Murat
          ŞAŞMAZ, Mahmut Ünsal
        affil:
          Dr. Öğr. Üyesi, Uşak Üniversitesi, İİBF, İktisat Bölümü
          Doç. Dr., Uşak Üniversitesi, İİBF, İktisat Bölümü
          Dr. Öğr. Üyesi, Uşak Üniversitesi, İİBF, Ekonometri Bölümü
          Dr. Öğr. Üyesi, Uşak Üniversitesi, İİBF, Maliye Bölümü
      keyword:
        Import Demand Income Elasticity
        Import Demand Price Elasticity
        Imports Demand Function
        İthalat Talebinin Fiyat Esnekliği
        İthalat Talebinin Gelir Esnekliği
        İthalat Talep Fonksiyonu
        Import Demand Income Elasticity
        Import Demand Price Elasticity
        Imports Demand Function
        İthalat Talebinin Fiyat Esnekliği
        İthalat Talebinin Gelir Esnekliği
        İthalat Talep Fonksiyonu
      ab: The aim of this study is to estimate the import demand function of Turkey for the period of 2001-2015 by using structural breakdown cointegration analysis and policy proposal based on the estimation results. In this context, we employed Maki (2012) test for cointegration which allows up to five structural breaks. It is observed that Turkey has experienced especially in the second quarter of 2006, the second quarter of 2008, the second quarter of 2011 and the second quarter of 2014 structural breakdown in demand of import. In addition, using OLS, FMOLS, DOLS and CCR methods, the Error Correction Mechanism was predicted to achieve both long-term and short-term import income and price elasticities. The results show that the import demand is affected more from the changes in income than the changes in price. Addition to this the findings of the study show that Turkey's import demand has been experiencing a large number of structural breaks after the 2008 global crisis.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Article
      src: R
    language: Turkish
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