In Favor of Logarithmic Scoring.

Shuford, Albert, and Massengill proved, a half century ago, that the logarithmic scoring rule is the only proper measure of inaccuracy determined by a differentiable function of probability assigned the actual cell of a scored partition. In spite of this, the log rule has gained less traction in app...

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Publicado en:Philosophy of Science Vol. 86; no. 2; pp. 286 - 304
Autor principal: McCutcheon, Randall G.
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Cambridge University Press Apr2019
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Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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        atl: In Favor of Logarithmic Scoring.
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        au: McCutcheon, Randall G.
      su:
        Probability theory
        Logarithmic functions
        Mathematical analysis
        Numerical analysis
        Banach spaces
      sug:
        subj:
          Probability theory
          Logarithmic functions
          Mathematical analysis
          Numerical analysis
          Banach spaces
      ab: Shuford, Albert, and Massengill proved, a half century ago, that the logarithmic scoring rule is the only proper measure of inaccuracy determined by a differentiable function of probability assigned the actual cell of a scored partition. In spite of this, the log rule has gained less traction in applied disciplines and among formal epistemologists that one might expect. In this article we show that the differentiability criterion in the Shuford et al. result is unnecessary and use the resulting simplified characterization of the logarithmic rule to give novel arguments in favor of it.
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