The Absolute and Relative Pessimistic Inductions.

The absolute pessimistic induction states that earlier theories, although successful, were abandoned, so current theories, although successful, will also be abandoned. By contrast, the relative pessimistic induction states that earlier theories, although superior to their predecessors, were discarde...

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Publicado en:Problems / Problemos Vol. 95; pp. 94 - 105
Autor principal: Seungbae Park
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Vilnius University 2019
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Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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        atl: The Absolute and Relative Pessimistic Inductions.
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        au: Seungbae Park
        affil: Division of General Studies Ulsan National Institute of Science and Technology The Republic of Korea
      su:
        Realism
        Progressivism
        Phlogiston
        History
        Analogy
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          Realism
          Progressivism
          Phlogiston
          History
          Analogy
      keyword:
        absoliučioji pesimistinė indukcija
        Absolute Pessimistic Induction
        Empirical Progressivism
        empirinis progresyvizmas
        Historical Optimism
        istorinis optimizmas
        Relative Pessimistic Induction
        santykinė pesimistinė indukcija
        absoliučioji pesimistinė indukcija
        empirinis progresyvizmas
        istorinis optimizmas
        santykinė pesimistinė indukcija
      ab:
        The absolute pessimistic induction states that earlier theories, although successful, were abandoned, so current theories, although successful, will also be abandoned. By contrast, the relative pessimistic induction states that earlier theories, although superior to their predecessors, were discarded, so current theories, although superior to earlier theories, will also be discarded. Some pessimists would have us believe that the relative pessimistic induction avoids empirical progressivism. I argue, however, that it has the same problem as the absolute pessimistic induction, viz., either its premise is implausible or its conclusion does not probably follow from its premise.
        Pagal absoliučiąją pesimistinę indukciją, ankstesnės teorijos, nors ir sėkmingos, buvo atmestos, todėl dabartinės teorijos, nors ir sėkmingos, taip pat bus atmestos. O santykinė pesimistinė indukcija teigia, kad ankstesnės teorijos, nors ir pranašesnės už jų pirmtakus, buvo atmestos, todėl dabartinės teorijos, nors ir pranašesnės už ankstesnes teorijas, taip pat bus atmestos. Kai kurie pesimistai manytų, kad santykinė pesimistinė indukcija išvengia empirinio progresyvizmo. Šiame straipsnyje teigiu, kad ji turi tokį patį trūkumą kaip ir absoliučioji pesimistinė indukcija, t. y. jos prielaida yra neįtikėtina arba jos išvada, veikiausiai, neišplaukia iš jos prielaidos.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Article
      src: R
    language: English
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