Amalgamating evidence of dynamics.

Many approaches to evidence amalgamation focus on relatively static information or evidence: the data to be amalgamated involve different variables, contexts, or experiments, but not measurements over extended periods of time. However, much of scientific inquiry focuses on dynamical systems; the sys...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Publicado en:Synthese Vol. 196; no. 8; pp. 3213 - 3231
Autores principales: Danks, David, Plis, Sergey
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Springer Nature Aug2019
Materias:
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
fields @attributes:
  recordID: 1
pdfLink:
plink: https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=hlh&AN=137558403&site=ehost-live
header:
  @attributes:
    shortDbName: hlh
    uiTerm: 137558403
    longDbName: Humanities International Complete
    uiTag: AN
  controlInfo:
    bkinfo:
    jinfo:
      jid:
        00397857
        4LI
      jtl: Synthese
      issn: 00397857
      maglogo: N
    pubinfo:
      dt: Aug2019
      vid: 196
      iid: 8
      pid: 237
      pub: Springer Nature
    artinfo:
      ui:
        137558403
        10.1007/s11229-017-1568-8
      ppf: 3213
      ppct: 18
      formats:
        fmt:
          – @attributes:
              type: T
          – @attributes:
              type: P
              size: 600KB
      tig:
        atl: Amalgamating evidence of dynamics.
      aug:
        au:
          Danks, David
          Plis, Sergey
        affil:
          Departments of Philosophy and Psychology, 161 Baker Hall, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA, USA
          The Mind Research Network, 1101 Yale Blvd NE, Albuquerque, NM, USA
      su:
        Scientific method
        Evidence
        Time series analysis
        Time measurements
      sug:
        subj:
          Scientific method
          Evidence
          Time series analysis
          Time measurements
      keyword:
        Causal discovery
        Causal inference
        Dynamical systems
        Latent variables
        Timescale
      ab: Many approaches to evidence amalgamation focus on relatively static information or evidence: the data to be amalgamated involve different variables, contexts, or experiments, but not measurements over extended periods of time. However, much of scientific inquiry focuses on dynamical systems; the system's behavior over time is critical. Moreover, novel problems of evidence amalgamation arise in these contexts. First, data can be collected at different measurement timescales, where potentially none of them correspond to the underlying system's causal timescale. Second, missing variables have a significantly different impact on time series measurements than they do in the traditional static setting; in particular, they make causal and structural inference much more difficult. In this paper, we argue that amalgamation should proceed by integrating causal knowledge, rather than at the level of "raw" evidence. We defend this claim by first outlining both of these problems, and then showing that they can be solved only if we operate on causal structures. We therefore must use causal discovery methods that are reliable given these problems. Such methods do exist, but their successful application requires careful consideration of the problems that we highlight.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Article
      src: R
    language: English
    refInfo:
    copyright:
      @attributes:
        flag: Y
      custom: Synthese is a copyright of Springer, 2019. All Rights Reserved.
      item: Synthese
      holder: Springer Nature
      dt:
        @attributes:
          year: 2019
    holdings:
      @attributes:
        islocal: N