Predictive model for macrosomia using maternal parameters without sonography information.

Objective: We aimed to develop new predictive models for excluding macrosomia using only maternal physical parameters, without sonographic examination. Methods: The present study retrospectively analyzed the medical records of pregnant women who delivered singleton infants at term at one obstetric h...

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Publicado en:Journal of Maternal-Fetal & Neonatal Medicine Vol. 32; no. 22; pp. 3859 - 3864
Autores principales: Shigemi, Daisuke, Yamaguchi, Satoru, Aso, Shotaro, Yasunaga, Hideo
Formato: research tables/charts Journal Article
Publicado: Taylor & Francis Ltd Nov2019
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: Nov2019
      vid: 32
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      pub: Taylor & Francis Ltd
      place: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
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        atl: Predictive model for macrosomia using maternal parameters without sonography information.
      aug:
        au:
          Shigemi, Daisuke
          Yamaguchi, Satoru
          Aso, Shotaro
          Yasunaga, Hideo
        affil: Yamaguchi Women's Hospital, Chiba, Japan
      sug:
        subj:
          Fetal Macrosomia Etiology
          Fetal Macrosomia Diagnosis
          Mothers Statistics and Numerical Data
          Models, Statistical
          Prognosis
          Female
          Retrospective Design
          Pregnancy Complications Diagnosis
          Pregnancy Complications Epidemiology
          Sensitivity and Specificity
          Infant, Newborn
          Pregnancy
          Japan
          Adult
          Predictive Value of Tests
          Risk Factors
          Ultrasonography, Prenatal
          Human
          Infant, Newborn: birth-1 month
          Adult: 19-44 years
          Female
      ab: Objective: We aimed to develop new predictive models for excluding macrosomia using only maternal physical parameters, without sonographic examination. Methods: The present study retrospectively analyzed the medical records of pregnant women who delivered singleton infants at term at one obstetric hospital in an urban area in Japan from May 2005 to April 2017. We performed logistic regression analysis to predict macrosomia and created an integer risk scoring system based on the significant predictors. We also developed an alternative predictive regression model using machine learning with the random forest algorithm. Results: There were 203 cases of macrosomia among 15,263 eligible women. Although our scoring system had low specificity and positive predictive value, the negative predictive value for screening macrosomia was very high (0.996-1.000). The other model, using machine learning with the random forest algorithm to predict macrosomia, showed a negative predictive value of 0.99, which was similar to the results of our scoring system. Conclusions: Our integer scoring system is an easy and useful method for excluding macrosomia among pregnant women without sonographic examination.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype:
        research
        tables/charts
        Journal Article
      ougenre: Article
    language: English
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