THE FEDERAL RESERVE'S DUAL MANDATE AND THE INFLATION‐UNEMPLOYMENT TRADEOFF.

Using Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) transcripts from 1960 to 2010, this paper examines the evolution of the Committee's approach to the inflation‐unemployment tradeoff. We find: (1) FOMC discussions have increasingly emphasized inflation relative to unemployment and (2) this shift occurred du...

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Published in:Contemporary Economic Policy Vol. 37; no. 4; pp. 641 - 652
Main Authors: Kaya, Ayse, Golub, Stephen, Kuperberg, Mark, Lin, Feng
Format: Article
Published: Wiley-Blackwell Oct2019
Subjects:
Online Access:View this record in EBSCOhost
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        atl: THE FEDERAL RESERVE'S DUAL MANDATE AND THE INFLATION‐UNEMPLOYMENT TRADEOFF.
      aug:
        au:
          Kaya, Ayse
          Golub, Stephen
          Kuperberg, Mark
          Lin, Feng
        affil:
          Associate Professor, Department of Political Science, Swarthmore College, Swarthmore PA 19081
          Professor, Department of Economics, Swarthmore College, Swarthmore PA 19081
          Research Professional, Booth School of Business, The University of Chicago, Chicago IL 60637
      su:
        United States. Federal Open Market Committee
        Federal funds market (U.S.)
        Taylor's rule
      sug:
        subj:
          United States. Federal Open Market Committee
          Federal funds market (U.S.)
          Taylor's rule
      ab: Using Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) transcripts from 1960 to 2010, this paper examines the evolution of the Committee's approach to the inflation‐unemployment tradeoff. We find: (1) FOMC discussions have increasingly emphasized inflation relative to unemployment and (2) this shift occurred during the Volcker era and has continued even as inflation itself declined, with the result that the emphasis on inflation has become entrenched and disconnected from actual inflation. Finally, we create an expanded Taylor Rule that includes these FOMC discussions and find that the increased emphasis on inflation is positively correlated with the federal funds rate.
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    language: English
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