Battle Diffusion Matters: Examining the Impact of Microdynamics of Fighting on Conflict Termination.

How does diffusion of civil war battles influence conflict termination? Recent advances in civil war literature have found that battle dynamics shape conflict termination by affecting the intra-conflict bargaining between disputants. This article extends the theoretical perspective and argues that h...

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Publicado en:Journal of Conflict Resolution Vol. 64; no. 5; pp. 871 - 903
Autores principales: Ito, Gaku, Hinkkainen Elliott, Kaisa
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Sage Publications Inc. May2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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        atl: Battle Diffusion Matters: Examining the Impact of Microdynamics of Fighting on Conflict Termination.
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        au:
          Ito, Gaku
          Hinkkainen Elliott, Kaisa
        affil:
          Graduate School for International Development and Cooperation, Hiroshima University, Higashihiroshima, Japan
          The Network for Education and Research on Peace and Sustainability, Hiroshima University, Higashihiroshima, Japan
          Department of Politics, Derwent College, University of York, York, England
      su:
        Civil war
        Statics & dynamics (Social sciences)
        Termination of war
        Diffusion processes
        Battles
        Bargaining power
      sug:
        subj:
          Civil war
          Statics & dynamics (Social sciences)
          Termination of war
          Diffusion processes
          Battles
          Bargaining power
      keyword:
        civil wars
        conflict resolution
        event data
        internal armed conflict
        negotiation
        spatial analysis
        civil wars
        conflict resolution
        event data
        internal armed conflict
        negotiation
        spatial analysis
      ab: How does diffusion of civil war battles influence conflict termination? Recent advances in civil war literature have found that battle dynamics shape conflict termination by affecting the intra-conflict bargaining between disputants. This article extends the theoretical perspective and argues that how battles diffuse matters in determining conflict termination. While battlefield dynamics should in principle reveal previously unavailable private information, the relevance of information-revealing effect depends on the diffusion patterns of battles. The persistent, and possibly battle-exacerbated, commitment problem can also alter the prospects of conflict termination. We test the argument by distinguishing two distinct diffusion patterns of battles: distant and proximate. The empirical results reveal that distant diffusion, but not proximate diffusion, of battles makes civil conflicts less likely to terminate. The analysis also demonstrates that incorporating diffusion dynamics significantly improves our ability to predict conflict termination.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Article
      src: R
    language: English
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