Bayesian joint modelling of longitudinal and time to event data: a methodological review.

Background: In clinical research, there is an increasing interest in joint modelling of longitudinal and time-to-event data, since it reduces bias in parameter estimation and increases the efficiency of statistical inference. Inference and prediction from frequentist approaches of joint models have...

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Publicado en:BMC Medical Research Methodology Vol. 20; no. 1; pp. 1 - 18
Autores principales: Alsefri, Maha, Sudell, Maria, García-Fiñana, Marta, Kolamunnage-Dona, Ruwanthi
Formato: research Journal Article
Publicado: BioMed Central 4/26/2020
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: 4/26/2020
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      pub: BioMed Central
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        10.1186/s12874-020-00976-2
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        atl: Bayesian joint modelling of longitudinal and time to event data: a methodological review.
      aug:
        au:
          Alsefri, Maha
          Sudell, Maria
          García-Fiñana, Marta
          Kolamunnage-Dona, Ruwanthi
        affil: Department of Health Data Science, Institute of Population Health, University of Liverpool, L69 3GL, Liverpool, UK
      sug:
        subj:
          Probability
          Systems Analysis
          Human
          Linear Regression
          Prospective Studies
          Comparative Studies
          Multicenter Studies
          Evaluation Research
          Validation Studies
          Scales
      ab: Background: In clinical research, there is an increasing interest in joint modelling of longitudinal and time-to-event data, since it reduces bias in parameter estimation and increases the efficiency of statistical inference. Inference and prediction from frequentist approaches of joint models have been extensively reviewed, and due to the recent popularity of data-driven Bayesian approaches, a review on current Bayesian estimation of joint model is useful to draw recommendations for future researches.Methods: We have undertaken a comprehensive review on Bayesian univariate and multivariate joint models. We focused on type of outcomes, model assumptions, association structure, estimation algorithm, dynamic prediction and software implementation.Results: A total of 89 articles have been identified, consisting of 75 methodological and 14 applied articles. The most common approach to model the longitudinal and time-to-event outcomes jointly included linear mixed effect models with proportional hazards. A random effect association structure was generally used for linking the two sub-models. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms were commonly used (93% articles) to estimate the model parameters. Only six articles were primarily focused on dynamic predictions for longitudinal or event-time outcomes.Conclusion: Methodologies for a wide variety of data types have been proposed; however the research is limited if the association between the two outcomes changes over time, and there is also lack of methods to determine the association structure in the absence of clinical background knowledge. Joint modelling has been proved to be beneficial in producing more accurate dynamic prediction; however, there is a lack of sufficient tools to validate the prediction.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype:
        research
        Journal Article
      ougenre: Article
    language: English
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