Pre-operative nomogram predicting malignant potential in the patients with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm of the pancreas: focused on imaging features based on revised international guideline.

Objective: To clarify the pre-operative imaging and clinical features differentiating malignant from benign intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) of the pancreas and develop a nomogram for estimating the individualized risk of malignant IPMN.Methods: One hundred twenty-six patients with IPM...

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Publicado en:European Radiology Vol. 30; no. 7; pp. 3711 - 3723
Autores principales: Hwang, Jeong Ah, Choi, Seo-Youn, Lee, Ji Eun, Kim, Seung Soo, Lee, Sunyoung, Moon, Ji Yoon, Heo, Nam Hun
Formato: Journal Article
Publicado: Springer Nature Jul2020
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: Jul2020
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      pub: Springer Nature
      place: New York, New York
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        atl: Pre-operative nomogram predicting malignant potential in the patients with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm of the pancreas: focused on imaging features based on revised international guideline.
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        au:
          Hwang, Jeong Ah
          Choi, Seo-Youn
          Lee, Ji Eun
          Kim, Seung Soo
          Lee, Sunyoung
          Moon, Ji Yoon
          Heo, Nam Hun
        affil: Department of Radiology, Soonchunhyang University Cheonan Hospital, College of Medicine, Soonchunhyang University, Cheonan, Republic of Korea
      sug:
        subj:
          Carcinoma, Ductal Diagnosis
          Neoplasms, Cystic, Mucinous, and Serous Diagnosis
          Tomography, X-Ray Computed Methods
          Pancreatectomy
          Carcinoma, Papillary Diagnosis
          Pancreatic Neoplasms Diagnosis
          Magnetic Resonance Imaging Methods
          Pancreas
          Preoperative Period
          Adult
          Carcinoma, Ductal Surgery
          Carcinoma, Papillary Surgery
          Aged, 80 and Over
          Middle Age
          Aged
          Models, Statistical
          Male
          Biopsy
          Retrospective Design
          Pancreas Surgery
          Female
          Practice Guidelines
          Pancreatic Neoplasms Surgery
          Scales
          Adult: 19-44 years
          Aged, 80 & over
          Middle Aged: 45-64 years
          Aged: 65+ years
          Male
          Female
      ab: Objective: To clarify the pre-operative imaging and clinical features differentiating malignant from benign intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) of the pancreas and develop a nomogram for estimating the individualized risk of malignant IPMN.Methods: One hundred twenty-six patients with IPMN (72 benign and 54 malignant) who underwent pre-operative contrast-enhanced CT or MRI from 2010 to 2018 were retrospectively evaluated in two tertiary institutions. All lesions were pathologically proven by surgery or biopsy. Significant imaging and clinical findings for malignancy were assessed by univariate and multivariable logistic regression analyses. Based on the significant variables in the multivariable analysis, we developed a nomogram to predict malignant potential in patients with IPMNs, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to assess the diagnostic value.Results: Multivariable analysis revealed that enhancing mural nodule ≥ 5 mm (odds ratio (OR), 48.30; 95% confidence interval (CI), 11.69-199.49), increased serum carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) (OR, 8.69; 95% CI, 2.04-36.92), main pancreatic duct (MPD) diameter ≥ 10 mm (OR, 6.34; 95% CI, 1.21-33.30), and acute pancreatitis (OR, 4.77; 95% CI, 1.12-20.36) were independent significant parameters to predict malignant IPMN. Among them, enhancing mural nodule ≥ 5 mm showed the highest OR and predictor point on the nomogram. The AUC for the nomogram was 0.955 (95% CI, 0.903-0.984).Conclusions: Pre-operative imaging findings could aid in predicting malignant potential of IPMN using the significant findings of enhancing mural nodule ≥ 5 mm, increased serum CA19-9, MPD diameter ≥ 10 mm, and acute pancreatitis.Key Points: • Among pre-operative imaging and clinical features, enhancing mural nodule ≥ 5 mm, increased serum CA19-9, main pancreatic duct diameter ≥ 10 mm, and acute pancreatitis were independent significant parameters to predict malignant IPMN. • Enhancing mural nodule ≥ 5 mm was a single predictor for malignant IPMN, with the highest diagnostic values compared to other significant parameters. • A constructed nomogram using these parameters could aid in predicting malignant potential in patients with IPMN of the pancreas.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Journal Article
      ougenre: Article
    language: English
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