Twins Support the Absence of Parity-Dependent Fertility Control in Pretransition Populations.

A conclusion of the European Fertility Project in 1986 was that pretransition populations mostly displayed natural fertility, where parity-dependent birth control was absent. This conclusion has recently been challenged for England by new empirical results and has also been widely rejected by theori...

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Published in:Demography (Springer Nature) Vol. 57; no. 4; pp. 1571 - 1596
Main Authors: Clark, Gregory, Cummins, Neil, Curtis, Matthew
Format: Article
Published: Springer Nature Aug2020
Subjects:
Online Access:View this record in EBSCOhost
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        10.1007/s13524-020-00898-0
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        atl: Twins Support the Absence of Parity-Dependent Fertility Control in Pretransition Populations.
      aug:
        au:
          Clark, Gregory
          Cummins, Neil
          Curtis, Matthew
        affil:
          Department of Economics, University of California, Davis, Davis, CA, USA
          Department of Economic History, London School of Economics, and Center for Economic Policy Research, London, UK
      su:
        England
        Québec (Québec)
        Birth control
        Family size
        Economic expansion
        Bear populations
        Industrial districts
      sug:
        subj:
          Birth control
          Family size
          Economic expansion
          England
          Québec (Québec)
          Family Planning Centers
          Bear populations
          Industrial districts
      keyword:
        Economic growth
        Economic history
        Family planning
        Fertility
        Natural fertility
        Economic growth
        Economic history
        Family planning
        Fertility
        Natural fertility
      ab: A conclusion of the European Fertility Project in 1986 was that pretransition populations mostly displayed natural fertility, where parity-dependent birth control was absent. This conclusion has recently been challenged for England by new empirical results and has also been widely rejected by theorists of long-run economic growth, where pre-industrial fertility control is integral to most models. In this study, we use the accident of twin births to show that for three Western European–derived pre-industrial populations—namely, England (1730–1879), France (1670–1788), and Québec (1621–1835)—we find no evidence for parity-dependent control of marital fertility. If a twin was born in any of these populations, family size increased by 1 compared with families with a singleton birth at the same parity and mother age, with no reduction of subsequent fertility. Numbers of children surviving to age 14 also increased. Twin births also show no differential effect on fertility when they occurred at high parities; this finding is in contrast to populations where fertility is known to have been controlled by at least some families, such as in England, 1900–1949, where a twin birth increased average births per family by significantly less than 1.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Article
      src: R
    language: English
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