Adding Continuous Vital Sign Information to Static Clinical Data Improves the Prediction of Length of Stay After Intubation: A Data-Driven Machine Learning Approach.

Background. Bedside monitors in intensive care units (ICUs) routinely measure and collect patients' physiologic data in real time in order to continuously assess the health status of critically ill patients. With the advent of increased computational power and the ability to store and rapidly proces...

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Publicado en:Respiratory Care Vol. 65; no. 9; pp. 1367 - 1378
Autores principales: Castiñeira, David, Schlosser, Katherine R., Geva, Alon, Rahmani, Amir R., Fiore, Gaston, Walsh, Brian K., Smallwood, Craig D., Arnold, John H., Santillana, Mauricio
Formato: research tables/charts Journal Article
Publicado: Mary Ann Liebert, Inc. Sep2020
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: Sep2020
      vid: 65
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      pub: Mary Ann Liebert, Inc.
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        atl: Adding Continuous Vital Sign Information to Static Clinical Data Improves the Prediction of Length of Stay After Intubation: A Data-Driven Machine Learning Approach.
      aug:
        au:
          Castiñeira, David
          Schlosser, Katherine R.
          Geva, Alon
          Rahmani, Amir R.
          Fiore, Gaston
          Walsh, Brian K.
          Smallwood, Craig D.
          Arnold, John H.
          Santillana, Mauricio
        affil: Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts
      sug:
        subj:
          Vital Signs
          Electronic Health Records
          Length of Stay
          Respiration, Artificial
          Machine Learning
          Intensive Care Units, Pediatric
          Decision Support Systems, Clinical
          Quality Improvement
          Human
          Retrospective Design
          Descriptive Statistics
          Hospitals, Pediatric
          Predictive Validity
          Critical Care
          Decision Making, Clinical
          Data Analytics
          Inpatients
          Critically Ill Patients
          Hospital Mortality
          Clinical Information Systems
          Sensitivity and Specificity
      ab: Background. Bedside monitors in intensive care units (ICUs) routinely measure and collect patients' physiologic data in real time in order to continuously assess the health status of critically ill patients. With the advent of increased computational power and the ability to store and rapidly process big datasets in recent years, this physiologic data show promise in identifying specific outcomes and/or events during patients' ICU hospitalization. Methods. We introduce a methodological workflow capable of automatically extracting meaningful information from continuous-in-time vital signs to predict patient outcomes. Our prediction algorithms are based on robust and scalable machine-learning techniques. We demonstrate the feasibility and applicability of this approach to a pilot study aimed at predicting whether or not a patient will experience a prolonged ICU length of stay (defined as longer than 4 days) in a cohort of 284 mechanically ventilated patients collected from a pediatric medical and surgical ICU at Boston Children's Hospital, using only information collected or available during the first 24 hours of mechanical ventilation. Results. Our methodology achieves predictive accuracies above 83% (AUC) by using only vital sign information collected from bedside physiologic monitors. In addition, we show that combining vital sign information with patients' demographic and clinical history data contained in electronic health records, improves the accuracy of our approach to accuracies of 90% (AUC). The predictive power of our methodology is assessed strictly on an unseen hold-out validation set of patients. Conclusions. Our proposed workflow may prove useful in the design of scalable approaches for real-time predictive systems in ICU environments exploiting real time vital sign information from bedside monitors.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype:
        research
        tables/charts
        Journal Article
      ougenre: Article
    language: English
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