Institutional uncertainty and growth expectations of businesses: the case of Jordan.

Uncertainty about the institutional environment plays a crucial role in business‐related decisions. Measuring institutional uncertainty, in light of its interplay with normative, regulatory, and cognitive aspects of institutions, is a complex issue. This study develops a multidimensional index to me...

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Published in:International Social Science Journal Vol. 70; no. 237/238; pp. 239 - 262
Main Authors: Sandri, Serena, Alshyab, Nooh
Format: Article
Published: Wiley-Blackwell Sep-Dec 2020
Subjects:
Online Access:View this record in EBSCOhost
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      dt: Sep-Dec 2020
      vid: 70
      iid: 237/238
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      pub: Wiley-Blackwell
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        147773990
        10.1111/issj.12254
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        atl: Institutional uncertainty and growth expectations of businesses: the case of Jordan.
      aug:
        au:
          Sandri, Serena
          Alshyab, Nooh
      su:
        Business
        Institutional environment
        Multidimensional databases
        Databases
        Business expansion
      sug:
        subj:
          Business
          Institutional environment
          Multidimensional databases
          Databases
          Business expansion
      keyword:
        binary logit regression
        business growth
        institutional uncertainty
        institutions
        Jordan
        binary logit regression
        business growth
        institutional uncertainty
        institutions
        Jordan
      ab: Uncertainty about the institutional environment plays a crucial role in business‐related decisions. Measuring institutional uncertainty, in light of its interplay with normative, regulatory, and cognitive aspects of institutions, is a complex issue. This study develops a multidimensional index to measure the perception of institutional uncertainty by private sector decision‐makers and to assess its effects on the perspectives of business growth. The index captures uncertainty related to government and policies, law and law enforcement, judiciary, security of persons and property rights, political instability, and state–private sector relations. The developed indicator is then measured based on a survey run over a representative sample of 319 business owners, entrepreneurs, and top managers in Jordan. The results of binary logit regressions support the view that if institutions are perceived to be uncertain, this negatively influences the growth expectations of businesses. More specifically, it emerges that the uncertainty related to the judiciary, to political instability, as well as to clientelism and corruption significantly contributes to discouraging job creation. The results further point to the importance of social capital and networking for doing business.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Article
      src: R
    language: English
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