Assumption Lean Regression.

It is well known that with observational data, models used in conventional regression analyses are commonly misspecified. Yet in practice, one tends to proceed with interpretations and inferences that rely on correct specification. Even those who invoke Box's maxim that all models are wrong proceed...

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Publicado en:American Statistician Vol. 75; no. 1; pp. 76 - 85
Autores principales: Berk, Richard, Buja, Andreas, Brown, Lawrence, George, Edward, Kuchibhotla, Arun Kumar, Su, Weijie, Zhao, Linda
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Taylor & Francis Ltd Feb2021
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Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: Feb2021
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      pub: Taylor & Francis Ltd
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        148278884
        10.1080/00031305.2019.1592781
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        atl: Assumption Lean Regression.
      aug:
        au:
          Berk, Richard
          Buja, Andreas
          Brown, Lawrence
          George, Edward
          Kuchibhotla, Arun Kumar
          Su, Weijie
          Zhao, Linda
        affil:
          Department of Criminology, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA
          Department of Statistics, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA
      su:
        Regression analysis
        Functionals
      sug:
        subj:
          Regression analysis
          Functionals
      keyword:
        Foundational issues
        Generalized linear models
        Linear regression
        Misspecified regression models
        Regression functionals
        Foundational issues
        Generalized linear models
        Linear regression
        Misspecified regression models
        Regression functionals
      ab: It is well known that with observational data, models used in conventional regression analyses are commonly misspecified. Yet in practice, one tends to proceed with interpretations and inferences that rely on correct specification. Even those who invoke Box's maxim that all models are wrong proceed as if results were generally useful. Misspecification, however, has implications that affect practice. Regression models are approximations to a true response surface and should be treated as such. Accordingly, regression parameters should be interpreted as statistical functionals. Importantly, the regressor distribution affects targets of estimation and regressor randomness affects the sampling variability of estimates. As a consequence, inference should be based on sandwich estimators or the pairs (x–y) bootstrap. Traditional prediction intervals lose their pointwise coverage guarantees, but empirically calibrated intervals can be justified for future populations. We illustrate the key concepts with an empirical application.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Article
      src: R
    language: English
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