Adjusted binary classification (ABC) model in forensic science: An example on sex classification from handprint dimensions.

Binary classification techniques are commonly used in forensic examination to test if a specimen belongs to a particular group and base the expert opinion on the questioned evidence. However, most of the currently used methods do not achieve sufficient accuracy due to the ignoring of the specimens c...

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Publicado en:Forensic Science International Vol. 320
Autores principales: Jerković, Ivan, Kolić, Andrea, Kružić, Ivana, Anđelinović, Šimun, Bašić, Željana
Formato: research tables/charts Journal Article
Publicado: Elsevier B.V. Mar2021
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: Mar2021
      vid: 320
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      pub: Elsevier B.V.
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        10.1016/j.forsciint.2021.110709
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        atl: Adjusted binary classification (ABC) model in forensic science: An example on sex classification from handprint dimensions.
      aug:
        au:
          Jerković, Ivan
          Kolić, Andrea
          Kružić, Ivana
          Anđelinović, Šimun
          Bašić, Željana
        affil: University Department of Forensic Sciences, University of Split, Ruđera Boškovića 33, 21000 Split, Croatia
      sug:
        subj:
          Diagnosis, Laboratory Methods
          Hand Anatomy and Histology
          Forensic Sciences
          Image Processing, Computer Assisted
          Dyes
          Male
          Discriminant Analysis
          Female
          Predictive Value of Tests
          Human
          Male
          Female
      ab: Binary classification techniques are commonly used in forensic examination to test if a specimen belongs to a particular group and base the expert opinion on the questioned evidence. However, most of the currently used methods do not achieve sufficient accuracy due to the ignoring of the specimens classified in the overlapping area. To address the issue, we proposed a novel Adjusted binary classification (ABC) algorithm that automatically adjusts posterior probabilities to reach classification accuracy and positive/negative predicted values (PPV, NPV) of 95 %. In the presented example, we used three handprint measurements from 160 participants (80 males and 80 females) to develop models that would classify sex from their dimensions. The sample was split into the training/cross-validated (70 %) and testing sample (30 %). We developed four classification models using linear discriminant analysis (LDA) by employing traditional single cut-off values and ABC approach that for each group provides a specific posterior probability cut-off threshold. In the cross-validated sample, the accuracy of traditional models was 78.7-92.5 %, while PPVs/NPVs ranged between 78.2 and 93 %. ABC models provided 95 % accuracy, PPV, and NPV, and could classify 35.5-88.1 % of specimens. In the testing sample, ABC models achieved accuracy of 97.3-100 %, PPV/NPV 95.4-100 %, and could be applied to 29.1-87.5 % of specimens. The study demonstrated that the ABC approach could adjust classification models to reach predefined values of accuracy, PPV, and NPV. Therefore, it could be an efficient tool for conducting a binary classification in forensic settings and minimizing the possibilities of incorrect classifications.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
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    language: English
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