The interpretation of uncertainty in ecological rationality.
Despite the ubiquity of uncertainty, scientific attention has focused primarily on probabilistic approaches, which predominantly rely on the assumption that uncertainty can be measured and expressed numerically. At the same time, the increasing amount of research from a range of areas including psyc...
| Publicado en: | Synthese Vol. 198; no. 2; pp. 1517 - 1548 |
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| Autores principales: | , |
| Formato: | Artículo |
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Springer Nature
Feb2021
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| Acceso en línea: | Ver este registro en EBSCOhost |
| fields | @attributes: recordID: 1 pdfLink: plink: https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=hlh&AN=149024545&site=ehost-live header: @attributes: shortDbName: hlh uiTerm: 149024545 longDbName: Humanities International Complete uiTag: AN controlInfo: bkinfo: jinfo: jid: 00397857 4LI jtl: Synthese issn: 00397857 maglogo: N pubinfo: dt: Feb2021 vid: 198 iid: 2 pid: 237 pub: Springer Nature artinfo: ui: 149024545 10.1007/s11229-019-02140-w ppf: 1517 ppct: 31 formats: fmt: @attributes: type: P size: 818KB tig: atl: The interpretation of uncertainty in ecological rationality. aug: au: Kozyreva, Anastasia Hertwig, Ralph affil: Center for Adaptive Rationality, Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Lentzeallee 94, 14195, Berlin, Germany su: Uncertainty Bounded rationality Probability theory Decision making sug: subj: Uncertainty Bounded rationality Probability theory Decision making keyword: Ecological rationality Heuristics Probability Risk ab: Despite the ubiquity of uncertainty, scientific attention has focused primarily on probabilistic approaches, which predominantly rely on the assumption that uncertainty can be measured and expressed numerically. At the same time, the increasing amount of research from a range of areas including psychology, economics, and sociology testify that in the real world, people's understanding of risky and uncertain situations cannot be satisfactorily explained in probabilistic and decision-theoretical terms. In this article, we offer a theoretical overview of an alternative approach to uncertainty developed in the framework of the ecological rationality research program. We first trace the origins of the ecological approach to uncertainty in Simon's bounded rationality and Brunswik's lens model framework and then proceed by outlining a theoretical view of uncertainty that ensues from the ecological rationality approach. We argue that the ecological concept of uncertainty relies on a systemic view of uncertainty that features it as a property of the organism–environment system. We also show how simple heuristics can deal with unmeasurable uncertainty and in what cases ignoring probabilities emerges as a proper response to uncertainty. pubtype: Academic Journal doctype: Article src: R language: English refInfo: copyright: @attributes: flag: Y custom: Synthese is a copyright of Springer, 2021. All Rights Reserved. item: Synthese holder: Springer Nature dt: @attributes: year: 2021 holdings: @attributes: islocal: N |
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