Random forest machine learning algorithm predicts virologic outcomes among HIV infected adults in Lausanne, Switzerland using electronically monitored combined antiretroviral treatment adherence.

Machine Learning (ML) can improve the analysis of complex and interrelated factors that place adherent people at risk of viral rebound. Our aim was to build ML model to predict RNA viral rebound from medication adherence and clinical data. Patients were followed up at the Swiss interprofessional med...

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Publicado en:AIDS Care Vol. 33; no. 4; pp. 530 - 537
Autores principales: Kamal, Susan, Urata, John, Cavassini, Matthias, Liu, Honghu, Kouyos, Roger, Bugnon, Olivier, Wang, Wei, Schneider, Marie-Paule
Formato: research tables/charts Journal Article
Publicado: Taylor & Francis Ltd Apr2021
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: Apr2021
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      pub: Taylor & Francis Ltd
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        10.1080/09540121.2020.1751045
        149150194
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        atl: Random forest machine learning algorithm predicts virologic outcomes among HIV infected adults in Lausanne, Switzerland using electronically monitored combined antiretroviral treatment adherence.
      aug:
        au:
          Kamal, Susan
          Urata, John
          Cavassini, Matthias
          Liu, Honghu
          Kouyos, Roger
          Bugnon, Olivier
          Wang, Wei
          Schneider, Marie-Paule
        affil: Community pharmacy, School of pharmaceutical sciences, University of Geneva, University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland
      sug:
        subj:
          Machine Learning
          Algorithms
          HIV Infections Drug Therapy
          Anti-Retroviral Agents
          Medication Compliance
          Random Forest
          Viral Load
          Human
          Models, Theoretical
          RNA
          Treatment Outcomes
          Patient Compliance
          Switzerland
          Retrospective Design
          Male
          Female
          Adult
          CD4 Lymphocyte Count
          Drug Monitoring Methods
          Predictive Value of Tests
          Adult: 19-44 years
          Male
          Female
      ab: Machine Learning (ML) can improve the analysis of complex and interrelated factors that place adherent people at risk of viral rebound. Our aim was to build ML model to predict RNA viral rebound from medication adherence and clinical data. Patients were followed up at the Swiss interprofessional medication adherence program (IMAP). Sociodemographic and clinical variables were retrieved from the Swiss HIV Cohort Study (SHCS). Daily electronic medication adherence between 2008–2016 were analyzed retrospectively. Predictor variables included: RNA viral load (VL), CD4 count, duration of ART, and adherence. Random Forest, was used with 10 fold cross validation to predict the RNA class for each data observation. Classification accuracy metrics were calculated for each of the 10-fold cross validation holdout datasets. The values for each range from 0 to 1 (better accuracy). 383 HIV+ patients, 56% male, 52% white, median (Q1, Q3): age 43 (36, 50), duration of electronic monitoring of adherence 564 (200, 1333) days, CD4 count 406 (209, 533) cells/mm3, time since HIV diagnosis was 8.4 (4, 13.5) years, were included. Average model classification accuracy metrics (AUC and F1) for RNA VL were 0.6465 and 0.7772, respectively. In conclusion, combining adherence with other clinical predictors improve predictions of RNA.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype:
        research
        tables/charts
        Journal Article
      ougenre: Article
    language: English
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