Personalized Multimorbidity Management for Patients with Type 2 Diabetes Using Reinforcement Learning of Electronic Health Records.

Background: Comorbid chronic conditions are common among people with type 2 diabetes. We developed an artificial intelligence algorithm, based on reinforcement learning (RL), for personalized diabetes and multimorbidity management, with strong potential to improve health outcomes relative to current...

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Published in:Drugs Vol. 81; no. 4; pp. 471 - 483
Main Authors: Zheng, Hua, Ryzhov, Ilya O., Xie, Wei, Zhong, Judy
Format: research tables/charts Journal Article
Published: Springer Nature Mar2021
Online Access:View this record in EBSCOhost
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      dt: Mar2021
      vid: 81
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      pub: Springer Nature
      place: New York, New York
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        10.1007/s40265-020-01435-4
        149398144
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        atl: Personalized Multimorbidity Management for Patients with Type 2 Diabetes Using Reinforcement Learning of Electronic Health Records.
      aug:
        au:
          Zheng, Hua
          Ryzhov, Ilya O.
          Xie, Wei
          Zhong, Judy
        affil: Department of Mechanical and Industrial Engineering, Northeastern University, 360 Huntington Avenue, Boston, MA, USA
      sug:
        subj:
          Electronic Health Records
          Individualized Medicine
          Comorbidity Prevention and Control
          Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2
          Diabetic Patients
          Reinforcement (Psychology)
          Learning Methods
          Outcomes (Health Care)
          Human
          Artificial Intelligence
          Algorithms
          Blood Glucose
          Blood Pressure
          Cardiovascular Risk Factors
          Retrospective Design
          Prospective Studies
          New York
          Descriptive Statistics
      ab: Background: Comorbid chronic conditions are common among people with type 2 diabetes. We developed an artificial intelligence algorithm, based on reinforcement learning (RL), for personalized diabetes and multimorbidity management, with strong potential to improve health outcomes relative to current clinical practice. Methods: We modeled glycemia, blood pressure, and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk as health outcomes, using a retrospective cohort of 16,665 patients with type 2 diabetes from New York University Langone Health ambulatory care electronic health records in 2009–2017. We trained an RL prescription algorithm that recommends a treatment regimen optimizing patients' cumulative health outcomes using their individual characteristics and medical history at each encounter. The RL recommendations were evaluated on an independent subset of patients. Results: The single-outcome optimization RL algorithms, RL–glycemia, RL–blood pressure, and RL–CVD, recommended consistent prescriptions as that observed by clinicians in 86.1%, 82.9%, and 98.4% of the encounters, respectively. For patient encounters in which the RL recommendations differed from the clinician prescriptions, significantly fewer encounters showed uncontrolled glycemia (A1c > 8% in 35% of encounters), uncontrolled hypertension (blood pressure > 140 mmHg in 16% of encounters), and high CVD risk (risk > 20% in 25% of encounters) under RL algorithms compared with those observed under clinicians (43%, 27%, and 31% of encounters, respectively; all p < 0.001). Conclusions: A personalized RL prescriptive framework for type 2 diabetes yielded high concordance with clinicians' prescriptions, and substantial improvements in glycemia, blood pressure, and CVD risk outcomes.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype:
        research
        tables/charts
        Journal Article
      ougenre: Article
    language: English
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