A Noninvasive Prediction Model for Hepatitis B Virus Disease in Patients with HIV: Based on the Population of Jiangsu, China.

Objective. To establish a machine learning model for identifying patients coinfected with hepatitis B virus (HBV) and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) through two sexual transmission routes in Jiangsu, China. Methods. A total of 14197 HIV cases transmitted by homosexual and heterosexual routes wer...

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Publicado en:BioMed Research International pp. 1 - 13
Autores principales: Yin, Yi, Xue, Mingyue, Shi, Lingen, Qiu, Tao, Xia, Derun, Fu, Gengfeng, Peng, Zhihang
Formato: equations & formulas research tables/charts Journal Article
Publicado: Wiley-Blackwell 3/30/2021
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: 3/30/2021
      pid: 480
      pub: Wiley-Blackwell
      place: Malden, Massachusetts
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        10.1155/2021/6696041
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        atl: A Noninvasive Prediction Model for Hepatitis B Virus Disease in Patients with HIV: Based on the Population of Jiangsu, China.
      aug:
        au:
          Yin, Yi
          Xue, Mingyue
          Shi, Lingen
          Qiu, Tao
          Xia, Derun
          Fu, Gengfeng
          Peng, Zhihang
        affil: Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu 211166, China
      sug:
        subj:
          Noninvasive Procedures
          Machine Learning
          Prediction Models
          Coinfection Diagnosis
          Hepatitis B Diagnosis
          HIV Infections Diagnosis
          HIV Infections Transmission
          Hepatitis B Transmission
          Sexually Transmitted Diseases, Viral
          Human
          China
          HIV-Positive Persons
          Homosexuality
          Heterosexuality
          Univariate Statistics
          Logistic Regression
          Odds Ratio
          Multivariate Analysis
          Algorithms
          Decision Trees
          Random Forest
          Descriptive Statistics
          Sensitivity and Specificity
          Creatinine Blood
          Leukocyte Count
          Aspartate Aminotransferase
          Alanine Aminotransferase
          Bilirubin
          Age Factors
          Marital Status
          Severity of Illness
          Comparative Studies
          HIV Infections Complications
          Coinfection Risk Factors
          Hepatitis B Risk Factors
          Risk Assessment
      ab: Objective. To establish a machine learning model for identifying patients coinfected with hepatitis B virus (HBV) and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) through two sexual transmission routes in Jiangsu, China. Methods. A total of 14197 HIV cases transmitted by homosexual and heterosexual routes were recruited. After data processing, 12469 cases (HIV and HBV, 1033; HIV, 11436) were left for further analysis, including 7849 cases with homosexual transmission and 4620 cases with heterosexual transmission. Univariate logistic regression was used to select variables with significant P value and odds ratio for multivariable analysis. In homosexual transmission and heterosexual transmission groups, 10 and 6 variables were selected, respectively. For identifying HIV individuals coinfected with HBV, a machine learning model was constructed with four algorithms, including Decision Tree, Random Forest, AdaBoost with decision tree (AdaBoost), and extreme gradient boosting decision tree (XGBoost). The detective value of each variable was calculated using the optimal machine learning algorithm. Results. AdaBoost algorithm showed the highest efficiency in both transmission groups (homosexual transmission group: accuracy = 0.928 , precision = 0.915 , recall = 0.944 , F − 1 = 0.930 , and AUC = 0.96 ; heterosexual transmission group: accuracy = 0.892 , precision = 0.881 , recall = 0.905 , F − 1 = 0.893 , and AUC = 0.98). Calculated by AdaBoost algorithm, the detective value of PLA was the highest in homosexual transmission group, followed by CR, AST, HB, ALT, TBIL, leucocyte, age, marital status, and treatment condition; in the heterosexual transmission group, the detective value of PLA was the highest (consistent with the condition in the homosexual group), followed by ALT, AST, TBIL, leucocyte, and symptom severity. Conclusions. The univariate logistics regression combined with the AdaBoost algorithm could accurately screen the risk factors of HBV in HIV coinfection without invasive testing. Further studies are needed to evaluate the utility and feasibility of this model in various settings.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype:
        equations & formulas
        research
        tables/charts
        Journal Article
      ougenre: Article
    language: English
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