PREDICTIVE MODEL BASED ON HEALTH DATA ANALYSIS FOR RISK OF READMISSION IN DISEASE-SPECIFIC COHORTS.

Background: Intervention planning to reduce 30-day readmission post-acute myocardial infarction (AMI) in an environment of resource scarcity can be improved by readmission prediction score. The aim of study is to derive and validate a prediction model based on routinely collected hospital data for i...

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Publicado en:Perspectives in Health Information Management pp. 1 - 12
Autores principales: Ansari, Md. Shahid, Alok, Abhay Kumar, Jain, Dinesh, Rana, Santu, Gupta, Sunil, Salwan, Roopa, Venkatesh, Svetha
Formato: research Journal Article
Publicado: American Health Information Management Association Spring2021
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: Spring2021
      pid: 6825
      pub: American Health Information Management Association
      place: Chicago, Illinois
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        atl: PREDICTIVE MODEL BASED ON HEALTH DATA ANALYSIS FOR RISK OF READMISSION IN DISEASE-SPECIFIC COHORTS.
      aug:
        au:
          Ansari, Md. Shahid
          Alok, Abhay Kumar
          Jain, Dinesh
          Rana, Santu
          Gupta, Sunil
          Salwan, Roopa
          Venkatesh, Svetha
        affil: Deputy manager of clinical data analytics at Max Super Specialty Hospital, New Delhi, India
      sug:
        subj:
          Acute Disease
          Myocardial Infarction Therapy
          Readmission
          Risk Assessment
          Prediction Models
          Human
          Retrospective Design
          Tertiary Health Care
          International Classification of Diseases
          Logistic Regression
          Ethnic Groups
          Hospital Information Systems
          Confidence Intervals
          Descriptive Statistics
      ab: Background: Intervention planning to reduce 30-day readmission post-acute myocardial infarction (AMI) in an environment of resource scarcity can be improved by readmission prediction score. The aim of study is to derive and validate a prediction model based on routinely collected hospital data for identification of risk factors for all-cause readmission within zero to 30 days post discharge from AMI. Methods: Our study includes 2,849 AMI patient records (January 2005 to December 2014) from a tertiary care facility in India. EMR with ICD-10 diagnosis, admission, pathological, procedural and medication data is used for model building. Model performance is analyzed for different combination of feature groups and diabetes sub-cohort. The derived models are evaluated to identify risk factors for readmissions. Results: The derived model using all features has the highest discrimination in predicting readmission, with AUC as 0.62; (95 percent confidence interval ) in internal validation with 70/30 split for derivation and validation. For the sub-cohort of diabetes patients (1359) the discrimination is slightly better with AUC 0.66; (95 percent CI; ). Some of the positively associated predictive variables, include age group 80-90, medicine class administered during index admission (Anti-ischemic drugs, Alpha 1 blocker, Xanthine oxidase inhibitors), additional procedure in index admission (Dialysis). While some of the negatively associated predictive variables, include patient demography (Male gender), medicine class administered during index admission (Betablocker, Anticoagulant, Platelet inhibitors, Anti-arrhythmic). Conclusions: Routinely collected data in the hospital's clinical and administrative data repository can identify patients at high risk of readmission following AMI, potentially improving AMI readmission rate.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype:
        research
        Journal Article
      ougenre: Article
    language: English
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