Why Simpler Computer Simulation Models Can Be Epistemically Better for Informing Decisions.

For computer simulation models to usefully inform climate risk management, uncertainties in model projections must be explored and characterized. Because doing so requires running the model many times over, and because computing resources are finite, uncertainty assessment is more feasible using mod...

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Publicado en:Philosophy of Science Vol. 88; no. 2; pp. 213 - 234
Autores principales: Helgeson, Casey, Srikrishnan, Vivek, Keller, Klaus, Tuana, Nancy
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Cambridge University Press Apr2021
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Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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          Helgeson, Casey
          Srikrishnan, Vivek
          Keller, Klaus
          Tuana, Nancy
      su:
        Computer simulation
        Philosophy of science
        Philosophical literature
        Simulation methods & models
        Science in literature
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          Computer simulation
          Philosophy of science
          Philosophical literature
          Simulation methods & models
          Science in literature
      ab: For computer simulation models to usefully inform climate risk management, uncertainties in model projections must be explored and characterized. Because doing so requires running the model many times over, and because computing resources are finite, uncertainty assessment is more feasible using models that demand less computer processor time. Such models are generally simpler in the sense of being more idealized, or less realistic. So modelers face a trade-off between realism and uncertainty quantification. Seeing this trade-off for the important epistemic issue that it is requires a shift in perspective from the established simplicity literature in philosophy of science.
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